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Binance founder CZ said maybe we havent hit the real bull market yet
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The market is waiting for a direction, don't rush to bottom-fish. Let's stop here for today, my hands are sore. To summarize: BTC is hovering around 110,000, with a strong bearish sentiment in the options market, large whales are transferring coins, Mt. Gox is about to release coins, and various negative factors are stacking up. The probability of falling below 110,000 in the short term is not small, and 104,000-108,000 may be the next support zone. SOL, XRP, HBAR and other altcoins are struggling at critical positions, with technical reversal signals, but no support from capital. Retail investors are buying, while large players are selling, and such a situation usually does not have good results. ETH is relatively the strongest, whales are increasing their holdings, exchanges are withdrawing, and RSI shows divergence. If you must allocate to altcoins, ETH is the first choice. Stablecoins, RWA, and compliance in these sectors are beneficial in the long term, but they will not have a significant impact on coin prices in the short term. My suggestion: reduce positions, decrease leverage, set stop-losses, and wait for the market direction to become clear before entering. Now is not the time to bottom fish; now is the time to observe. $BTC
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ETH/BTC drops to 0.032, is the altcoin season coming? I think it’s uncertain. The ETH/BTC exchange rate has dropped again, now reaching this key support zone of 0.032-0.034. Every time we reach this position, the market starts discussing whether 'the altcoin season is coming.' Historically, after ETH/BTC stabilizes in this range, there has often been a strong rebound, driving the entire altcoin market to surge. But this time I am not very optimistic. Analyst Benjamin Cowen made it very clear: a real altcoin season requires two conditions: first, BTC must reach a new all-time high, and second, ETH must break through $5000. Currently, neither of these conditions is met. BTC is at 110000, while ETH is only 2400, which is quite far off. Moreover, BTC's dominance has risen to 59%, indicating that funds are still concentrated in BTC, with no signs of flowing into altcoins. $BTC $ETH
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XRP Outflow Surge of 7400%? Retail Investors Charging, Big Players Watching A surge in exchange outflows is usually a good sign, right? It means everyone is hoarding coins, anticipating a bullish market. But this time, XRP seems off. On October 14-15, the outflow volume of XRP from exchanges did indeed surge by 7400%, but what about the price? It is still hovering around $2.41 with no signs of a breakout. In-depth analysis of on-chain data reveals that this wave of buying is primarily retail investors. Small transactions are particularly active, indi$XRP cating that retail investors still have confidence in XRP, pos sibly betting on ETF approval or a complete victory in the Ripple lawsuit. The question is, what are the whales and long-term holders doing? They are reducing their holdings. Data shows that large holder addresses have recently shown significant signs of reducing their positions, and the EMA indicator has also begun to tilt downward, which is a typical bearish signal. To put it bluntly, retail investors are charging forward while large holders are fleeing. This situation is seen too often in the crypto space, where 99% of the time retail investors get trapped and large holders come out unscathed.
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Bitcoin Whale Behavior Changes Significantly After Crash, Three Key Signals Worth Monitoring After the market crash on October 11, the behavior patterns of Bitcoin whales have undergone a significant change. Dormant wallets have been reactivated, the inflow of funds to exchanges has surged, and the whale ratio on exchanges has peaked. These three signals collectively indicate that the dominance of whales in the market is strengthening, and market volatility may further increase in the short term. First, a large number of long-dormant whale wallets have been reactivated. Addresses holding over 14,000 BTC dormant for 12 to 18 months and addresses holding 4,690 BTC dormant for 3 to 5 years have shown unusual activity. Historical experience suggests that the activation of long-dormant addresses is often related to key turning points in the market. The movement of this smart money may be preparing for potential market changes. $BTC
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Mt. Gox has transferred coins again, 3.8 billion USD worth of BTC is on the way This broken exchange has been out of business since 2014, and every time coins are transferred, it shocks the market. This time 34,000 BTC were transferred, which is roughly 3.8 billion USD at the current price. Moreover, October 31 is the final repayment deadline, so this transfer is likely really going to the creditors. Here comes the question: will these creditors sell the coins immediately after receiving them? It is very likely. Just think about it, these people have been waiting for nearly 11 years, and now they finally receive compensation; their first reaction will definitely be to cash out. Plus, with the BTC price being so high now, why not sell? $USDC $BTC $BNB
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