𝐂𝐫𝐲𝐩𝐭𝐨 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐒𝐧𝐚𝐩𝐬𝐡𝐨𝐭 💎
BTC is trading at $111,238 (+1.09% 24h), up 2.80% weekly but down 4.45% monthly.
ETH sits at $4,290 (+0.88% 24h), down 2.31% on the week, yet slightly higher (+0.70%) over the month.
Fear & Greed Index: 40 (Neutral) — despite sharp ETF outflows (- $160M BTC, - $447M ETH).
Selective speculation continues as SOMI pairs rally over 76%.
💵 Rate Cut Expectations
Historically, Fed cuts support crypto by reducing borrowing costs.
Positioning shows extreme bullishness:
BTC long/short ratio 61.66 (98.4% of accounts long).
ETH ratio 20.24, still heavily long but less extreme.
Institutions remain cautious, evident from ETF redemptions despite retail optimism.
⚡ Trading Outlook
BTC levels: $115K resistance / $105K support.
ETH levels: $4.5K resistance / $4K support.
Heavy leverage increases risk of liquidations if the Fed disappoints.
“Buy the rumor, sell the news” could play out if the cut matches expectations.
Altcoin speculation (e.g. SOMI) may persist, but hinges on the broader market reaction.
⚠️ Risk Factors
Extreme long positioning leaves the market exposed to downside shocks.
ETF outflows suggest institutional players are hedging or taking profits.
Broader economic uncertainty around rate cuts may limit upside potential.
Traders should size positions carefully and consider reducing leverage ahead of the announcement.
