$BTC Calm Before the Storm? Tariffs Could Spark Move!

⚠️ BTC on Standby – Will Tariffs Be the Catalyst?

Bitcoin has been hovering just under the $116K mark, with price action staying subdued as traders tread carefully. The market seems to be in a holding pattern, reflecting a mix of uncertainty and anticipation.

This week, the U.S. implemented sweeping tariffs under President Trump’s new trade measures. As these policies take hold, analysts are watching closely for any ripple effects that could jolt risk assets like Bitcoin.

So far, BTC has traded in a narrow range between $113K and $116K, with traders awaiting a breakout trigger. According to K33 Research, BTC's 30-day volatility is sitting at just 1.33%—its lowest point in a year. In fact, short-term (7-day) volatility recently dipped to 1.2%, barely above the two-year low of 0.76% seen on July 30.

Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury auctions are showing signs of strain. A recent $58B issuance saw weak overseas demand, leaving U.S. banks to pick up the slack. If this continues, it could nudge the Fed toward renewed monetary easing—a move that might enhance Bitcoin’s role as a store of value.

On the institutional side, interest appears mixed. Wednesday saw a $91.55M net inflow into U.S. spot BTC ETFs, snapping a four-day outflow streak—but still trailing the major inflows seen before BTC surged to $123K in mid-July.

Glassnode data highlights that BTC is now trading in a low-liquidity “air pocket” between $110K and $116K—a potential accumulation zone. After slipping over 3% in two days, BTC found support near its 50-day EMA at $113,182, right around its previous ATH of $111,980.

Currently priced above $114,900, Bitcoin is teetering between a breakout and a potential dip. A daily close above $116K could spark a move toward $120K. However, failure to hold $113K might lead to a retest of the $111,980 support.#CryptoIn401(k) #USFedBTCReserve #BuiltonSolayer #IPOWave #CFTCCryptoSprint