The week of July 14–20, 2025 marks a decisive moment for the cryptocurrency sector: in Washington, the much-anticipated Crypto Week kicks off, with the discussion and possible approval of three fundamental laws for the regulation of the sector.
At the same time, Bitcoin surpasses for the first time the threshold of $120,000, supported by institutional optimism and the new regulatory framework on the way. However, huge token unlocks, for over a billion dollars, risk increasing volatility. In this article, we explore the key events, their significance for the crypto market, and future scenarios.
Crypto Week: a legislative revolution in three acts
The United States House of Representatives has initiated the Crypto Week, a legislative initiative designed to provide the crypto sector with clear and modern rules. In particular, there are three bills at the center of the debates:
GENIUS Act: approved in the Senate with 68 votes in favor out of 100, aims to regulate stablecoins by imposing 1:1 reserves, transparent audits, and anti-systemic risk rules.
Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (CLARITY Act): establishes when a cryptocurrency should be treated as a commodity (regulated by the CFTC) or as a security (under the SEC), resolving years of regulatory uncertainties.
Anti‑CBDC Surveillance State Act: explicitly prohibits the Federal Reserve from issuing a CBDC (central bank digital currency) to protect the privacy of citizens.
These rules are considered fundamental to attract further institutional investments and make the legal framework of the sector more predictable.
On July 14, Bitcoin reached a new all-time high of $122,571, then stabilized around $121,000. The overall market capitalization of Bitcoin surpassed $2.4 trillion, overtaking Amazon in the ranking of the most capitalized companies in the world.
Ethereum also benefits from the positive climate, reaching $3,059. This rally was fueled by three main factors:
Positive regulatory expectations: the prospect of a favorable legislative framework boosts investor confidence.
Growing institutional demand: ETFs and pension funds are increasingly showing interest in Bitcoin as a digital store of value.
Macroeconomic narrative: geopolitical tensions and the weakness of the US dollar continue to drive investors towards alternative assets.
Token unlock: over a billion dollars coming to the market
A factor of attention this week is represented by the important token unlocks, scheduled for projects like TRUMP, ARB, SEI, CONX, and others. In total, we are talking about over 1.1 billion dollars in new tokens that will become tradable between July 15 and 18.
The main risk is that these tokens are immediately sold, increasing the bear pressure and short-term volatility. For traders, it is crucial to monitor these events to plan defensive or opportunistic strategies.
To effectively follow the evolution of the votes and promptly adjust one’s investment strategy, it is useful to know the official deadlines scheduled for the Crypto Week (all times are ET, therefore +6 hours for Italy):
Monday, July 14, 4:00 PM ET: the House Rules Committee initiates discussions on the three legislative texts (GENIUS Act, CLARITY Act, and Anti‑CBDC).
Tuesday, July 15, around 3:00 PM ET: possibility of a floor vote on the three texts.
Wednesday, July 16, 9:00 AM ET: House Ways & Means hearing on the topic of crypto taxation (no legislation will be voted on in this session).
By Friday, July 18: if the GENIUS Act is approved on Tuesday, it is expected to be sent to the President for the final signature.
These stages mark the week and will have direct repercussions on the sentiment and prices of the bull and bear market.
Implications for investors
Long-term advantages
Regulatory stability: clear rules increase the confidence of large investors and promote a more mature ecosystem.
Mainstream adoption of stablecoins: companies like Walmart and Amazon might start using regulated stablecoins as means of payment.
Clarity for crypto projects: startups and DeFi protocols will be able to operate in a more predictable environment.
Short-term risks
Volatility from token unlock: sales can push the prices of some tokens downward and temporarily influence the entire market.
Effect of US CPI: the release of data on American inflation could influence the momentum of Bitcoin and risky assets.
Possible Scenarios
ScenarioCatalystsImpactBullishRapid approval of laws, inflation under controlBTC towards 125–135kBearishLegislative delay, high inflation, massive unlock salesBTC towards 108–110kSidewaysMarket waiting for concrete implementation of regulationsBTC 115–125k
Outcome of the legislative votes: fundamental for market sentiment. Details of the approved regulations: especially the rules on stablecoin and on the classification of tokens.
Immediate price reactions: market responses can indicate the direction of the coming days. Token unlock flows: follow the volumes and market absorption.
