In December 2024, a video from Sin City Crypto explored a bold prediction for Kaspa’s future. Now, six months later, the same analyst returns to revisit and refine those numbers. With the 2025 bull cycle in full swing, the question isn’t just “Will KAS go up?” but “How high can it realistically go?”
The video, hosted on the Sin City Crypto YouTube channel, takes a numbers-based approach to forecasting Kaspa’s potential in this market cycle. The analyst uses Kaspa dominance figures, projected crypto market caps, and circulating supply data to back up each estimate.
Back in December, the analyst predicted a range of outcomes for KAS based on market dominance and total crypto market capitalization. At the time, Kaspa’s dominance stood at around 0.09%. The prediction was rooted in the assumption that the overall crypto market would grow to a $10 trillion valuation by the end of the cycle. From that baseline, the analyst reverse-engineered several possible Kaspa price outcomes based on varying levels of market share.
The high-end prediction was $5. The base case was $2.16. And the low-end scenario was pegged at 0.12% dominance, which would reflect a Kaspa price of around $0.38.
Kaspa Price Update Based on 2025 Market Conditions
Now that we are in July 2025, the analyst is updating the numbers. Kaspa’s current dominance is around 0.06%, and the crypto market is still not near that $10 trillion figure, things have changed in the broader altcoin landscape.
The analyst notes that Kaspa still isn’t listed on tier one exchanges like Coinbase or Binance. While there has been a recent hard fork known as Crescendo, which increased block speed from 1 to 10 blocks per second, Kaspa has yet to see major adoption or ecosystem growth. Smart contracts are still missing and retail interest remains low. Institutional activity is driving most of the market rather than speculative altcoin hype.
That said, the long-term outlook remains optimistic.
KAS Price Forecast: Low, Base, and High Cases
The new low-case scenario adjusts Kaspa’s projected market dominance to 0.1%. With a $10 trillion total market cap, that would give Kaspa a $10 billion market cap. Given the current circulating supply of around 26.39 billion KAS tokens, this yields a low-end price prediction of about $0.38.
The base case, previously set at 0.55% dominance, is now lowered to 0.35%. That brings Kaspa’s projected market cap to $35 billion. Dividing that by the same circulating supply gives us a base case KAS price of about $1.32.
The high-end scenario of $5 is now considered unlikely in this cycle, but the analyst suggests it may be possible in a future cycle. It could even be surpassed if smart contracts and real ecosystem adoption arrive.
Can Kaspa Hit $1 or More? What It Depends On
To hit even the base-case target, Kaspa needs more than just favorable math but also retail momentum. It needs at least one breakout ecosystem token and actual usage of its blockchain. Right now, the fundamentals are there and Kaspa is a strong proof-of-work chain that processes 10 blocks per second. But fundamentals alone don’t drive prices in crypto, narratives and usage do.
The analyst believes Kaspa’s price could realistically move into the $1 to $1.32 range within this bull cycle if even a modest combination of catalysts comes through. That might include a smart contract launch, a popular dApp or meme coin built on Kaspa, and one or two major listings or institutional interest.
Read Also: Will Ethereum Price Hit $4K? ETH Whales Are Buying
The US government’s recently passed $5 trillion budget and the possibility of lower interest rates could flood the market with new liquidity, further supporting altcoin gains. Advisors are already recommending higher crypto allocations. The door is open, but Kaspa needs to step through it.
KAS Price Prediction: Analyst’s Final Thoughts
While he admits these outcomes aren’t guaranteed, the analyst makes it clear that the potential is there. Kaspa has the tech, the community, and now the growing awareness. What it needs is adoption. With time, he believes the price could move well past even the current projections.
According to him, $0.38 is the new conservative target, $1.32 is a strong possibility, and anything higher will depend on how much retail energy and ecosystem growth emerges before the end of this cycle.
Let’s see how it plays out.
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The post How High Can Kaspa (KAS) Go This Cycle? Analyst Lowers Expectations Amid Market Uncertainty appeared first on CaptainAltcoin.
