On-chain metrics point to healthy demand, not a blow-off top, with easing volatility creating a more sustainable environment for long-term bullishness on XRP price predictions.
Since hitting a local top in mid-May, the altcoin appears to be hitting its stride again with a 20% gain over the past 16 days in a firm mid-term uptrend—now metrics point long-term.
With Trump’s tariff letters reopening trade negotiations ahead of the extended August 1 “Liberation Day” tariff pause deadline, the macro narrative sets a precedent for cautious optimism.
BREAKING: President Trump sends out more “tariff letters” with the following tariff rates announced today:
1. Cambodia: 36%
2. Thailand: 36%
3. Bangladesh: 35%
4. Serbia: 35%
5. Indonesia: 32%
6. Bosnia: 30%
7. Tunisia: 25%
8. Japan: 25%
9. South Korea: 25%
These tariffs are…
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) July 7, 2025
Still, with growing expectations of 0.25%–1% rate cuts starting as early as July, macro FUD could give way to risk-on sentiment.
The Bull Market May Not Be Over for XRP
Despite explosive gains so far this cycle, Glassnode data suggests XRP has yet to reach a local top with market participants not yet in profit-taking territory, keeping the door open for further upside.
The MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) Z-Score, a key valuation metric, peaked near 6.5 during XRP’s early 2025 run to $3.
Today, it hovers around 2.0—well below the 3.0 threshold that typically signals overvaluation and the previous overextended levels that created high volatility.
XRP MVRV Z-Score shows stable valuation. Source: Glassnode.
A low score means the asset isn’t overextended relative to historical investor entry points, suggesting accumulation and HODLing rather than short-term speculation or weak hands.
This is reinforced by the HODL Wave chart, which shows over 40% of the circulating supply hasn’t moved in more than a year, underscoring strong holder conviction for further gains.
Long-term cohort bands also remain stable despite recent volatility and macro FUD, creating a solid foundation for growth with resilient underlying support.
XRP Price Analysis: Can $3 Be Topped This Cycle?
The XRP price could be gearing up for its next leg higher as it teeters on a breakout from a symmetrical triangle that has capped its upside since late February.
Momentum indicators align with the long-term bullish on-chain metrics. The RSI has reclaimed the neutral line at 52, signaling renewed buyer strength and a return to bullish territory.
More so, the MACD has formed a golden cross, surpassing the single line for the first time since May. On the 3-day chart, this suggests a potential mid-term uptrend is taking shape.
XRP has already surpassed the immediate resistance to a breakout at the 0.618 Fibonnaci level at $2.267.
The next hurdle sits at $2.44, which will determine whether this is a true breakout or a false move.
Should the bullish case play out, the pattern sets up a likely technical target at the 2.618 Fibonacci extension around $4.365—representing a 90% gain from current levels.
For this breakout to fully materialize, a market-warming catalyst such as the October 17 U.S. spot XRP ETF decision could prove decisive, opening the door to fresh TradFi inflows.
Bitcoin Could Soon Steal the Spotlight – With Some Help
Those who jumped to altcoins like XRP over the leading crypto may be forced to reconsider as the Bitcoin ecosystem finally addresses its biggest limitation: scalability.
Slow transactions, high fees, and limited programmability have held it back from competing with the Ethereum and Solana networks – until now.
And this shift starts with Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER), Bitcoin’s first real-time Layer 2 that brings Solana-level speed and smart contracts directly to the Bitcoin ecosystem.
Powered by the Solana Virtual Machine (SVM) and anchored by a decentralized Canonical Bridge, it enables fast, cheap, and composable dApps—all while staying secured by Bitcoin.
With over $2 million in its third presale month, investors are already rallying behind $HYPER, potentially credited to its huge 386% APY on staking that rewards early investors.
You can keep up with Bitcoin Hyper on X and Telegram, or join the presale on the Bitcoin Hyper website.
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