As we transition into the second half of 2025, cryptocurrency investors must pay close attention to the BTC Dominance (BTC.D) chart—especially the six-month candlestick forming from July to December 2025. According to the image above, the Bitcoin dominance chart is hovering around 65.80%, showing a significant consolidation just below a historically critical resistance zone marked by multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVG).
This chart suggests we are at a turning point, not just for Bitcoin but for the broader crypto market. Here’s why selling altcoins now—fearing that altseason won’t return—is likely premature and potentially costly:
📈 1. Strong BTC Dominance = Pre-Altseason Positioning
Historically, Bitcoin dominance surges first as capital flows into BTC during early bull market phases. Once Bitcoin cools or consolidates after dominance peaks, capital typically rotates into altcoins. The current chart shows BTC.D nearing a strong resistance zone. A rejection or slowdown here could trigger capital outflows into altcoins.
🕳️ 2. Fair Value Gaps (FVG) Are Being Filled
The presence of multiple FVG zones on the BTC.D chart indicates that historical inefficiencies in price movement are being corrected. Once these gaps are filled and dominance fails to break higher, it often signals that BTC has done its job and the market is ready to shift focus to alts. The current candle appears to be testing one of the final FVG zones—a possible climax point before a downtrend in dominance.
🧠 3. Smart Money Is Accumulating, Not Selling
Market cycles are driven not just by technicals but by psychology. Smart money accumulates altcoins when BTC dominance is high and most traders are fearful of an altseason “that never comes.” This sentiment trap shakes out retail investors who sell too early. Once retail exits, the altseason begins suddenly, catching them off guard.
🔄 4. Cycle Timing Aligns With 6-Month Momentum
The six-month candlestick shown beginning July 2025 is historically a pivot period. In previous bull cycles (e.g., 2017, 2021), Q3 to Q4 marked a dominance shift from BTC to altcoins. The large-bodied candlesticks leading into mid-2025 suggest a potential dominance top formation, which could signal the beginning of a redistribution phase into altcoins.
🪙 5. Altcoins Lag, Then Explode
The pattern is consistent: Bitcoin runs first, dominance increases, and then altcoins explode. Altcoins are often illiquid compared to BTC, so their major movements are sharp, fast, and usually happen when BTC calms down. We are possibly in that transition zone now. Selling early may mean missing the steep upside that typically comes next.
📌 Conclusion: Patience Is a Profitable Strategy
The current BTC dominance chart isn’t a signal to exit altcoins—it’s a warning against emotional exits. The technical evidence supports a potential reversal or slowdown in BTC dominance, which historically precedes an altcoin rally. If the second half of 2025 mirrors previous cycles, this could be the true beginning of altseason.
For long-term investors and swing traders, the best strategy now may not be to sell—but to hold, accumulate strategically, and stay prepared for what could be one of the most explosive market phases in years.