As crypto markets reel from recent pullbacks, XRP finds itself at a pivotal moment. With a possible price crash on the table and renewed investor interest, the token’s future remains uncertain—but far from boring. Add Trump, Dogecoin, and ETF speculation to the mix, and XRP’s next move could shape the altcoin narrative in 2025.
XRP Under Pressure: The Risk of a 35% Drop
XRP’s recent rally may have created more problems than it solved. On-chain data shows early buyers are now unloading tokens at a pace of $68 million a day. These investors saw returns over 300% and are locking in profits aggressively. Historically, this kind of distribution preceded massive corrections. The last time XRP behaved this way was in 2017—right before a 90% crash.
Newer holders are also a concern. Over 70% of XRP’s realized market cap has formed since late 2024. That makes the market unusually top-heavy and more vulnerable to sharp sell-offs. If current price levels break, XRP could sink toward $1.35–$1.60. Traders who bought in the past six months are nearing breakeven levels and may sell under pressure, accelerating the decline.
XRP Price Analysis: Watching Support at $1.99
Despite strong selling, XRP still has hope. The $1.99 to $2.09 range is a major support zone. This level has held firm for six months and previously triggered big bounces. If buyers step in again, XRP could reverse course quickly. Bulls are already showing signs of life, with long positions hitting a one-month high.
According to Coinglass data, XRP’s long/short ratio surged to 1.035—the highest in nearly 30 days. This was accompanied by a 44% jump in derivative trading volumes in just 24 hours. The move signals a wave of optimism as traders increasingly bet on a rebound. Still, sell-side momentum remains dominant, and XRP’s upside hinges on a shift in volume strength.
The charts aren’t encouraging yet. The CMF indicator is trending downward, showing weak inflows. Volume is also declining, suggesting waning interest. If XRP drops below $1.99, the next key level is $1.61. But if XRP can overcome the $2.37 resistance, a short squeeze could fuel a breakout toward the $2.80 range.
Trump’s Boost: Can XRP Ride the Regulatory Wave?
Donald Trump’s win in 2024 sent shockwaves through the crypto world—and XRP was one of the biggest beneficiaries. His administration’s pro-crypto stance helped Ripple resolve its long battle with the SEC. A judge ruled that XRP isn’t always a security, and now settlement talks are underway to reduce Ripple’s fine even further.
Regulatory clarity is just one of XRP’s tailwinds. The other major boost could come from new spot XRP ETFs, expected as early as Q4 2025. If demand hits projections, billions could flow into XRP from both retail and institutional investors. Standard Chartered predicts a price of $12.50 by 2028, which would mean a massive surge from today’s levels. That bullish forecast hinges on strong adoption in global payments and a favorable political climate—both of which now seem possible.
XRP vs. Dogecoin: Speculation or Substance?
In 2024, both XRP and Dogecoin were star performers. Trump’s win pumped the market, and the creation of the DOGE-named government agency added more fuel to Dogecoin’s fire. Elon Musk’s brief role in that agency stirred more hype, keeping Dogecoin in the headlines. But behind the memes, Dogecoin still lacks real-world use.
XRP, on the other hand, powers Ripple’s cross-border payments system. It’s fast, cheap, and already used by major banks. This gives it an edge over meme-based tokens like Dogecoin. While Dogecoin depends heavily on Musk’s attention, XRP offers infrastructure, utility, and growing institutional support. For investors seeking long-term value, XRP clearly has the stronger case.
XRP Price Analysis Summary: Boom, Bust, or Breakout?
XRP is facing a major test. On one hand, heavy selling and weak technicals could drive the price down to $1.35. On the other, strong support levels and bullish sentiment around Trump-era policies and ETFs could spark a major reversal. The outcome will depend on how XRP behaves at the $1.99 support and whether momentum returns.
Compared to Dogecoin, XRP has more substance and potential for real-world adoption. It may not be the flashiest coin on the market, but it’s one of the few altcoins with actual utility and regulatory clarity. Traders should keep a close eye on key levels and be ready for big moves—either way, XRP’s next chapter could be explosive.
