BTC.D is as good as topped.

I get asked allll the time about "wen dominance drop.... wen alt szn"

From my perspective, this is how I see BTC.D right now.

This is a pretty large range that begun in July 2017 and holding form still today.

At this stage in the cycle, I would not expect BTC.D to break thing range.

If we were at an earlier stage in the cycle, sure, we could still push past this range...

But BTC is about to undergo its final expansion phase of this cycle, and statistically speaking, this phase is where its dominance begins to decline, not push higher.

This is evident in the ETH/BTC chart and ETH.D chart that I have shared several times recently.

Both these charts have begun their respective reversals, and thus provide very strong confluence that paints a pretty clear picture for 65% being a highly probable top for BTC.D.

Another important thing I have highlighted here is just how fast Dominance drops once it does.

It can spend years building up... this cycle it has been consistently rising for almost 3 years.

Only to bottom out from peak to bottom in 4 months!

You can see on the chart approximately how this would look, albeit I have just laid over the fractal from 2021. This cycle will of course have its differences.

But regardless of how fast it gets there, I have a bottom target for BTC.D at 42%.

This also aligns with the Weekly FVG.

Structurally and statistically, this prediction holds strong weight and until proven otherwise, this range will play out like this imo.

TLDR:

It is very close. Any rise here in dominance will be short lived and not have too much of an effect on the wider market.

Alt outperformance is next on the cards.