On June 12, Cas Abbé, Web3 Growth Manager at Binance, highlighted that Bitcoin’s monthly RSI now enters the overbought zone. Analyst Axel Adler also projected a sharp price rise after recent gains. Moreover, Wise Crypto issued a technical warning, pointing to similarities with the 2021 cycle. Wu Blockchain and Richard Teng, Binance CEO, confirmed robust spot ETF inflows and long-term adoption by institutions. This week’s close remains critical. The BTC bull run continues to raise questions across the market. Technical indicators flash signs of exhaustion, while inflows and institutional moves suggest strength.
Technical Signals Point to Final Leg of the BTC Bull Run
Cas Abbé posted that BTC’s monthly RSI has entered the overbought zone. Historically, this zone marks the final phase of a bull run. Abbé added, “This isn’t something to be worried about… the biggest and quickest gains happen during the last phase.”
Source: Cas Abbé & Axel Adler X Posts on June 12, 2025
Axel Adler noted that after April’s market bottom, BTC’s 4-year CAGR had fallen to 7%. As of June 2025, the CAGR recovered to 31%, which Adler termed the “Strong zone.” The forecast remains conservative compared to historical peaks of 50–80%. However, Adler warned that if future momentum continues, BTC may hit $168,000 by October 2025. The RSI and CAGR together reflect the BTC bull run, but also rising risk. A technical breakout or breakdown is now imminent.
2021 Echoes Create Caution Amid BTC Bull Run
On June 12, Wise Crypto stated that Bitcoin’s weekly chart bears a striking resemblance to the 2021–2022 cycle. During that period, BTC saw a parabolic rise, sideways movement, and then a major decline. The analyst compared the current 2025 rally with the 2021 surge led by Elon Musk’s Tesla investments. This time, the rally features endorsements from Trump’s team and Elon Musk again, aiding a recent all-time high.
Source: Wise Crypto X Post on June 12, 2025
BTC’s price touched $110,000 recently. Wise Crypto warned, “If Bitcoin fails to break and hold above $110K this week, we may be entering a bearish phase.” A rejection could mirror the post-2021 correction. Traders were advised to stay cautious. “Weekly close is critical… breaking key levels can trigger large moves,” stated Wise Crypto. The comparison shows that technical history may not repeat exactly, but often rhymes.
ETF Inflows Reflect On-Chain Strength and Institutional Belief
Wu Blockchain reported on June 11 that Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a $165 million net inflow. This marks three consecutive days of inflows. However, Ethereum ETFs saw an even stronger flow of $240 million, maintaining an 18-day streak. These figures suggest growing investor confidence. Daily institutional demand through ETFs remains strong. These inflows support bullish price action and provide a cushion against short-term volatility.
Richard Teng, Binance CEO, confirmed this institutional shift. Teng said, “Major institutions are no longer asking whether to engage with crypto, but how.” Custody, infrastructure, and ETF products reflect a long-term commitment. Teng also added, “The next decade will be about integration at scale.” ETF inflows indicate that interest is not retail-driven alone. The current BTC bull run gains credibility from capital flows and custodial trends.
Market Outlook Hinges on Weekly Close Near $110K
The BTC bull run now stands at a critical inflection point. Multiple analysts highlighted that a clean break above $110,000 could extend gains. A failure to hold above this level may trigger a rapid correction. Cas Abbé described this moment as the last leg of the bull cycle. Axel Adler believes that momentum and favorable conditions could lift prices to $168,000 by October. Wise Crypto emphasized caution due to historical patterns repeating.
Meanwhile, Wu Blockchain’s data shows ETF momentum remains solid. Institutions continue to pour capital into crypto assets. The next few days will define the medium-term trajectory. Weekly close near or above $110K could confirm strength. A rejection from that level might invite a bear phase. The BTC bull run shows conflicting signals. Momentum, adoption, and inflows all support growth. But historical echoes and technical resistance urge caution.
Bitcoin Uplift Or Trap: This Week Holds the Answer
The crypto market faces a decisive moment. If the BTC bull run holds momentum and breaks above $110,000, new highs may soon follow. A confirmed weekly close below this key resistance could suggest a short-term top. Spot ETF inflows, long-term CAGR recovery, and rising institutional activity suggest deep-rooted confidence. But parallels with 2021’s peak bring caution. High-profile support from figures like Trump and Musk adds fuel, but macro volatility may test the rally. All eyes remain on the charts this week. BTC’s weekly close will likely shape the direction for the next leg of the cycle. Stay alert. The final phase of the BTC bull run often delivers the sharpest moves.
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