Bitcoin has returned to the $100K range with strong volume and price strength that matches its 2019 rally pattern
If momentum holds then BTC may aim for $113K or even $120K as long-term resistance levels come into view
A failure to break $100K with volume support may push BTC back to the $90K zone for another test attempt
Bitcoin has returned to the $100,000 zone earlier than expected, pushing into a strong resistance area with rising strength. According to recent chart data, BTC may now aim for a breakout toward $113K to $120K if momentum continues building. Multiple indicators align across daily, mid-term, and long-term models showing bullish structure forming near critical trend lines.
Source: X
The current chart presents a comparison with Bitcoin's 2019 mid-cycle setup, showing similar structure and consolidation rhythm. The breakout above prior resistance was followed by a rounding pattern, now forming again in the current daily cycle. This alignment supports the view that BTC may repeat its historical mid-cycle rally behavior.
Volume has increased during this approach toward the $100K line, supporting the ongoing test of structural resistance. At the same time, the RSI sits near 63.25, which suggests room for upside before overbought conditions are met. Technical models also point to $113K as the next likely retest zone above the orange long-term trend barrier.
Historical Structure Echoes Pre-Run Patterns From 2021 and 2019
The chart reveals a similar arc to the late 2020 and early 2021 run-up when Bitcoin surged through prior resistance. The cycle arc includes rounded basing patterns with breakout confirmation that led to parabolic movement after consolidation. Now, BTC mirrors this structure, pressing just below a critical resistance trendline drawn from previous all-time highs.
This arc includes support from a green uptrend line, showing BTC bouncing cleanly into higher consolidation without violating structure. The yellow curve on the chart connects two breakout regions and now aligns with the current setup between $90K and $100K. Momentum and structure favor continuation unless the price falls below that supporting arc.
The model uses over 328 bars of data to measure the span from previous peaks to the current resistance test. This timing analysis further supports the possibility of trend acceleration before cycle exhaustion occurs. Long-term breakout resistance remains near $113K and $120K, identified through past high rejection points.
Comparative pattern analysis suggests the current move is not isolated but part of a broader macro formation. Analysts have noted the similarity in compression zones and breakout triggers between past cycles and current action. If history repeats, BTC may enter a rapid push once it clears overhead trendlines.
Will BTC Extend Into $120K or Reverse From Long-Term Resistance Again?
The key question is whether BTC can sustain a break above $100K and climb toward $120K without early rejection. Chart signals suggest that a breakout may already be forming as price action compresses near the orange resistance band. If confirmed, this breakout would validate longer-term models and confirm BTC is entering a new upward phase.
