Bitcoin dominance is currently hovering around 61–62%—and that’s more than enough to suppress altcoins like SOL. BTC has been setting fresh all-time highs, yet #sol barely moved. In fact, it’s not just SOL. Top-tier coins like $XRP, $SUI, and $ADA are stuck, while meme coins are flying. So... what’s really going on?
Before diving into technicals, let’s ask the right question:
Why aren’t altcoins rallying with Bitcoin?
Sure, Bitcoin dominance plays a role, but that’s not the whole picture. Right now, crypto hype is laser-focused on BTC. Ask yourself—when was the last time a company said, “We’re investing in XLM, ADA, or SOL?” It doesn’t happen. Influencers are chanting #BTC nonstop—as if they hold millions—when most barely own 0.1.
Call me paranoid, or bearish—but $BTC is starting to feel like a hype meme coin. And when BTC corrects, altcoins like SOL are the first to bleed. It’s a dangerous imbalance.
Now, looking at Solana:
$SOL has been consolidating between $100 and $215 for nearly 20–24 weeks. That stability might look healthy, but it’s also a classic calm before the storm.
From a weekly perspective, the $168–$178 range is critical. We’re three days away from the weekly candle close. If SOL closes below $168, it likely drops to the $140–$150 range. If it manages to close between $168 and $178, we stay in an uncertain zone. The decision? Wait three days—it’ll define whether you’re bullish or bearish.
On the daily timeframe, today is showing signs of a fresh bearish trend. That trend aligns with the weekly structure and points toward the $140–$150 target. However, we may see a bounce from the $160–$164 zone—watch that carefully. There’s some buyer liquidity in that region.
From a 4H perspective, the picture is already playing out. Support broke at $174, dropped to $169, then stabilized around $171. The structure confirms what we see on the higher timeframes. A bounce from $160–$164 is possible, but any real rebound must be backed by volume.
You might ask—why predict $164 when it’s already close? Because even a small BTC move could push SOL there instantly. That’s when the real decision begins. If SOL hits that zone, we’ll know whether it has strength to hold—or if we’re headed for $140–$150.
Also, note: around $176, there’s a significant seller wall. Any approach toward that level may trigger turbulence or sharp rejections, and moreover 140—150 range carries the significant amount of buying orders.
In the end, larger trends are formed on higher timeframes, but it’s the lower timeframes that reveal whether those trends are sustainable.
Weekly says: wait.
Daily says: bearish bias begins.
4H says: I already broke structure.
The next few days will shape the bigger story. Be patient, be sharp.