TARIFF

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#MarketPullback
#CzechBitcoinReserve?
#TARIFF

$BTC

Introduction
As Bitcoin consolidates around $85,158 (+3.16% today), traders are weighing technical patterns against a backdrop of escalating macroeconomic risks—from Trump’s tariff threats to global recession warnings. This analysis deciphers the critical support/resistance levels on the chart and explores how geopolitical and economic shocks could dictate BTC’s next major move.
Technical Analysis: Battle Between Bulls and Bears
1. Resistance (Green Line): The 93,000–93,000–95,000 Ceiling
Bitcoin faces stiff resistance near 93,000–93,000–95,000, a zone tested multiple times in April 2025.
A decisive breakout above this level could ignite a rally toward $101,000 (year-to-date high) and beyond.
Why it matters: This resistance aligns with the 2024 all-time high consolidation zone—flipping it to support would signal strong bullish conviction.
2. Support (Red Line): The 72,000–72,000–75,000 Safety Net
The 72,000–72,000–75,000 range has acted as a springboard for BTC since March 2024.
A drop below this support could trigger a cascade toward $65,000, where institutional buyers may step in.
Key indicator: The 50-day moving average (~$80,000) is now a short-term pivot—holding above it keeps bulls in control.
3. Current Price Action: Consolidation Before the Storm
Bitcoin’s +3.16% surge today reflects optimism, but volume remains muted—suggesting hesitation.
Symmetrical triangle forming on lower timeframes hints at an imminent volatility spike.
Macro Risks: How Trump, Recession, and Global Chaos Could Swing BTC
1. Trump’s Tariff Policies: Double-Edged Sword for Crypto
Proposed 10% global tariffs may initially boost the USD (pressuring BTC), but long-term, they could:
Accelerate de-dollarization, driving demand for Bitcoin as a neutral asset.
Fuel inflation, reinforcing BTC’s “digital gold” narrative.
2. Recession Looming? Watch the Fed’s Next Move
The inverted U.S. yield curve signals a potential 2025–2026 recession.
Short-term pain: BTC may dip alongside equities in a liquidity crunch.
Long-term gain: Fed rate cuts could flood markets with cheap money, propelling crypto.
3. Unemployment and Economic Fragility
Rising jobless claims could force the Fed to pivot dovish, creating a tailwind for risk assets.
Corporate debt defaults might spark short-term panic but are unlikely to derail Bitcoin’s structural adoption.
4. Global Economic Meltdown Scenarios
China’s collapse: A property market crash could spill into crypto via commodity-linked sell-offs.
EU/Japan debt crises: Currency devaluations may push investors toward BTC as a hedge.
The Bottom Line: Trade Setups and Strategic Outlook
Bullish Scenario: Break above 95,000 confirms a new uptrend targeting 95,000confirms a new uptrend targeting 101,000+. Macro chaos (tariffs, inflation) could supercharge gains.
Bearish Warning: Failure to hold 72,000 risks plunge 72,000 risks plunge 65,000. Recession fears may delay the next bull cycle.
Pro Tip: Watch the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) and S&P 500 for correlations—BTC often inversely tracks the USD in crises.
Conclusion: Bitcoin as the Ultimate Hedge
In a world of trade wars, recession, and currency debasement, Bitcoin’s technical levels are just one piece of the puzzle. The real driver? Global loss of faith in traditional systems. Whether you’re a trader or Holder, 2025 promises volatility—and opportunity.
#BTC #recession #BTCvsMarkets #CryptoTariffDrop #tariff

According to BlockBeats, Federal Reserve official Goolsbee stated that the impact of tariffs on the macroeconomy might be limited. The Federal Reserve needs to consider the overall situation throughout the year, with tariff policy being just one of the factors. While short-term inflation expectations have risen, it is crucial that long-term expectations have not increased.
#TARIFF $BTC

Bitcoin $BTC traders are keeping their eyes on the screen as the price stays around $95,000. Nothing too exciting has happened in the past week, but some believe that could change soon. Sometimes when things are quiet, it means something big is about to happen.
The total value of the crypto market is getting close to $3 trillion again. While Bitcoin hasn’t made any big moves lately, some analysts think we might not be waiting much longer for a breakout.
Market staying calm with mixed results
Most of the big coins like Ether ($ETH ), BNB, and Solana’s SOL haven’t moved much in the last few days. XRP and Cardano’s ADA dropped about 2%, while Dogecoin (DOGE) had a slightly rougher time, falling around 3%.
Earlier this week, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a small outflow of $56 million. That ended an eight-day streak where nearly $3 billion had flowed into these funds. It’s not a huge drop by any means, but it’s worth noting after such a strong run.

Quiet markets often lead to big moves
Alex Kuptsikevich from FxPro shared his thoughts with CoinDesk, saying that long periods of sideways action usually mean the market is building energy for a bigger move. He thinks Friday’s jobs report could be the spark that gets things moving again.
He also mentioned that crypto is still hanging below its 200-day average, which is now around $3.01 trillion. If it breaks above that level, it could open the door for a climb toward $3.5 trillion.
Pat Zhang from WOO X agreed. He pointed out that Bitcoin has been stuck between $93,000 and $95,000 since late April, which looks like it’s setting up for a breakout.
He also noted that Bitcoin’s funding rates have been negative over the past week — something that doesn’t happen very often. When it does, it usually means big players are buying behind the scenes.
In the past two years, there were only four times when Bitcoin’s funding rate went negative — and each time, it was followed by a strong upward move.
That pattern suggests we could be in for another push higher, especially if whales keep stacking.

What’s going on with Trump and tariffs?
On the macro side, global traders are watching how things play out with Donald Trump and international trade deals. According to Bloomberg, Trump said progress is being made with countries like South Korea, India, Japan, and China on tariff agreements.
While it may not seem directly related to crypto, big shifts in trade policy can affect investor mood across markets — and that includes digital assets.
So while nothing seems to be jumping off the charts right now, the pieces might already be in place for a shift. All it might take is one big move in the wrong or right direction to get things rolling again.
#bitcoin #trump #tariff