Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) has surged an impressive 26% over the past week, and it's now hovering just below a major resistance level. If it manages to break through, analysts see potential for a sharp rally — possibly as high as 38%.
While much of the altcoin market is cooling down, PENGU is showing strong momentum, and chart patterns suggest it still has room to run. What’s fueling this trend, and what should we watch next?
🐧 Bulls Hold the Reins – and the Market Knows It
Despite a slight 2% dip over the last 24 hours, buyers are still clearly in control. The Bull-Bear Power (BBP) index, currently flashing green at 0.0148, confirms this strength by measuring the gap between recent highs and lows.
A positive BBP means the bulls are stronger than the bears — and PENGU’s BBP has remained above zero since late June, even as the price struggled beneath key resistance. This consistent strength suggests that any dip might simply be a pause before the next leg up.
If BBP stays positive while the price pushes past resistance, it would further confirm that PENGU’s momentum is still intact. However, a reversal into negative territory could signal a deeper pullback.
📉 Liquidation Pressure Builds – Shorts Are in Control
PENGU is currently trading around $0.036. A 7-day liquidation map reveals $10.46 million in open short positions compared to $10.18 million in longs — a slight tilt toward the bearish side. This setup could trigger a short squeeze if the price rises quickly.
Should the price break above $0.039 and move toward $0.042, we may see mass liquidations of short positions. This would ease downward pressure and drive PENGU even higher, as short-sellers scramble to buy back at higher prices.
📊 Chart Analysis Points to 38% Upside Potential
From a technical perspective, PENGU has tested the 0.382 Fibonacci level near $0.039 twice but failed to break through. Additionally, a key resistance sits at $0.037.
The chart uses Fibonacci extension tools by connecting the swing low at $0.0077 to the recent swing high at $0.035, followed by the pullback to $0.028. This helps map the next potential price targets in an ongoing uptrend.
📈 If PENGU breaks above $0.037, $0.039, and eventually $0.042 (the 0.5 Fibonacci level), the path opens toward $0.045 — a 25% rise. If that level is surpassed, the next key resistance would be $0.050 (the 0.786 Fibonacci level), marking a 38% increase from the current price of around $0.036.
⚠️ What Could Invalidate the Bullish Setup?
The bullish case could unravel if PENGU falls below $0.035 — a former resistance turned support. Further downside risk looms at the $0.028 retracement zone. If the price breaks into this lower range, a deeper correction may follow.
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