CPI_BTC_Watch

According to CoinDesk: Bitcoin remained relatively stable over the weekend, trading between $54,000 and $55,000, following the liquidation of over $220 million in crypto long positions due to a weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs report. Traders are now eyeing significant events this week, including a U.S. presidential debate and the release of key economic indicators like the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI).BTC Trading Flat, But Analysts See ValueWhile major tokens like Ether (ETH), Solana (SOL), Cardano (ADA), and Ripple’s XRP showed minimal changes, some mid-cap tokens like memecoin Neiro (NEIRO) and BitTorrent token (BTT) surged by 25%. Despite the broader market's sluggish activity, analysts at Presto Research believe Bitcoin is currently undervalued.In a Monday note, Peter Chung and Min Jung from Presto Research stated that Bitcoin’s record-high network security makes it an attractive investment. “The hashrate, or computational power securing the Bitcoin network, has hit an all-time high of 679 EH/s, making it the most secure network by far,” they noted, adding that, “BTC seems grossly undervalued at the moment.”Macroeconomic Factors Impacting BTCBitcoin miners have been expanding capacity since August, and this increase in hashrate typically marks a price bottom for the asset. Market analysts are keeping a close eye on U.S. payroll figures, which recently showed a weaker labor market, and the upcoming CPI and PPI reports, both of which will provide insights into inflation trends.“Lower-than-expected payroll data is dominating the market sentiment at the moment,” Lucy Hu, senior analyst at Metalpha, told CoinDesk. Hu added that volatility could remain high leading up to the Federal Reserve's next meeting.Political Developments to WatchAlongside economic indicators, the market is also focusing on the upcoming presidential debate between Republican candidate Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris. Trump has previously expressed his intention to make the U.S. the "crypto capital" of the world, while Harris is also reportedly considering policies to support the growth of the cryptocurrency industry.With key economic data releases and political events scheduled for this week, Bitcoin could see significant price movement. Traders and analysts alike are closely monitoring market sentiment, with many believing that Bitcoin is undervalued due to its strong fundamentals, despite prevailing macroeconomic concerns.

Week ahead – A storm of CPI data and China’s GDP in focus amid trade uncertainty • Dollar attracts safe haven flows amid trade anxiety.• US inflation data could shake July Fed cut probability.• UK, Canadian and Japanese CPI numbers also on tap.• Weak Chinese growth may increase calls for more stimulus.
• Dollar reacts differently to tariff concerns nowThe dollar has held very well against its major peers this week, although it is still down since April 2, when US President Turmp announced reciprocal tariffs against all the US’s main trading partners, before postponing them and keeping only a 10% base duty.Although the 90-day delay, which was supposed to expire on Wednesday, was extended until August 1, Trump said this week that he would impose a 25% tariff on goods from Japan and South Korea, while he threatened Brazil with a 50% levy, and other partners with lower rates. This allowed the US dollar to stay strong due to safe-haven inflows.This marks a shift in how the dollar responds to tariff-related anxiety. Back in April, it was hurt due to fears about a recession. Now, it is benefiting as a safe haven, while upside risks to inflation are adding further momentum. A few weeks ago, investors were penciling in 65bps worth of rate cuts by the Fed, with the probability of a July reduction rising as a couple of policymakers expressed clear support for such a move, while Fed Chair Powell did not rule it out when testifying before Congress.Nonetheless, following the better-than-expected jobs data for June and Trump’s fresh tariff-related threats, the probability of a July cut dropped to 5%, while markets now price in 50bps of easing this year - fully alighned with the Fed's latest dot plot.
• Inflation cooling could revive July Fed cut betsNext week, investors will keep their gaze locked on tariff-related headlines, but they will also have to evaluate the US CPI data for June. According to the ISM PMIs, prices in the manufacturing sector accelerated somewhat, but the non-manufacturing prices subindex slid notably. Given that the manufacturing sector accounts for only 10% of US GDP, the risks to CPI appear tilted to the downside. A slowdown in inflation may allow some market participants to reopen the door to the possibility of a July rate cut, which in turn could end the latest recovery in the US dollar.The US PPI numbers for June will be released on Wednesday, while on Thursday, retail sales data for the same month will be released. The preliminary University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey for July on Friday could also attract special attention as it includes the closely watched 1-year inflation expectations print. The year-over-year rate of that metric surged to 6.6% in May, but it slipped to 5% in June. Further cooling could add credence to the idea that the upside risks to inflation are not that prominent and may allow the dollar to retreat a bit more.
• UK CPI data awaited as BoE seen cutting in AugustSpeaking of inflation, the UK will also release its CPI numbers for June on Wednesday. At its latest decision, the Bank of England held interest rates unchanged, but the outcome was slightly more dovish than expected. Six out of nine policymakers voted to hold interest rates unchanged, with the remaining three opting for a 25bps reduction.The Bank noted that GDP growth remained weak and that the labor market has continued to loosen, leading to clearer signs that a margin of slack has appeared. This led investors to add to their rate cut bets, now assigning a nearly 77% chance of a 25bps reduction at the upcoming meeting, in August. Another one is fully priced in by the end of the year.Although the BoE expects inflation to continue accelerating to 3.7% y/y this year due to higher energy prices and some regulatory price increases, such as water utility bills, the Bank noted that the risks to inflation remain two-sided. Thus, even if the data reveals some acceleration, rate cut bets are unlikely to vanish. Perhaps traders will decide to take a few basis points off the table, but nothing too dramatic. On the other hand, a notable slowdown could give another green light to policymakers to lower interest rates in August, likely weighing on the British pound.The UK employment report for May will be coming out on Thursday and will provide more information about whether the labor market is indeed cooling or not.
• Canadian and Japanese inflation figures also on tapMore CPI data is on deck next week, with releases from Canada on Tuesday and Japan on Thursday. Getting the ball rolling with Canada, the BoC is expected to deliver one more quarter-point rate reduction this year, and with headline inflation already dropping to 1.7% in June, a very strong acceleration may be needed for the cut to be pushed into 2026. As for Japan, sticky inflation may allow yen traders to start reconsidering the likelihood of a BoJ rate hike before the turn of the year instead of the first quarter of 2026.
• China releases trade and growth data amid trade uncertaintyChina will also be in the spotlight. On Monday, the world’s second largest economy will release trade data for June, while on Tuesday, the GDP for Q2 will be released alongside industrial production, retail sales and the unemployment rate, all for June.The latest inflation data revealed that producer prices fell at a faster pace in June than in May, with deflation deepening to its worst level in almost two years. Although consumer prices accelerated for the first time in five months, the improvement was marginal, with the broader picture increasing pressure on Chinese policymakers to introduce more stimulatory measures.Despite China's agreement with the US to pursue further trade talks, lingering uncertainty over global trade is dampening local demand, and should next week’s data corroborate the notion that the Chinese economy is struggling, the People’s Bank of China may need to cut rates further later this year. Such expectations could weigh on the aussie and kiwi, as China is the main trading partner of both Australia and New Zealand.Aussie traders will have to digest Australia’s employment report for June, which is scheduled to be released during the Asian session on Wednesday.
• Earnings season beginsEquity traders will be busier next week as the Q2 earnings season will kick off, with the big banks reporting on Tuesday and Wednesday. That said, the spotlight is likely to fall on Netflix, which announces results on Thursday. With the streaming giant’s stock hitting record highs around ten days ago, results may need to be astounding for the stock to stretch its prevailing uptrend.
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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Digital asset prices are subject to high market risk and price volatility. The value of your investment may go down or up, and you may not get back the amount invested. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions and Binance is not available for any losses you may incur. Past performance is not a reliable predictor of future performance. You should only invest in products you are familiar with and where you understand the risks. You should carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives and risk tolerance and consult an independent financial adviser prior to making any investment.

The US dollar (USD) traded on a positive foot this week, managing to reverse part of its recent strong decline amid the resumption of the tariff narrative and shrinking chances of a Fed rate cut later in July.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) rose to monthly peaks on Friday, faltering just ahead of the key 98.00 barrier. The Inflation Rate will be the salient event on July 15, seconded by the NY Empire State Manufacturing Index and the API’s weekly report on US crude oil inventories. See On Chart DXY Technical OverviewProducer Prices are expected on July 16 alongside the usual weekly MBA Mortgage Applications, Industrial and Manufacturing Production, Capacity Utilisation, the EIA’s weekly report on US crude oil stockpiles, and the Fed Beige Book. The weekly Initial Jobless Claims will be released on July 17, followed by the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, Export and Import Prices, Retail Sales, the NAHB Housing Market Index, Business Inventories, and TIC Flows. Housing Starts, Building Permits, and the preliminary U-Mich Consumer Sentiment will wrap up the docket on July 18.
EUR/USD surrendered some gains and slipped back to the negative territory on a weekly basis despite holding on to the 1.1700 region. The ZEW’s Economic Sentiment in Germany and the euro area comes on July 15, seconded by the Industrial Production in the bloc. The EMU’s Balance of Trade results are due on July 16, while the final Inflation Rate in Euroland will be at the centre of the debate on July 17. Germany’s Producer Prices and EMU’s Current Account and Construction Output are expected on July 18.
A gloomy week saw GBP/USD retreat to two-week lows and revisit the sub-1.3600 region, building on the previous week’s retracement amid UK fiscal jitters and the strong US Dollar. The BRC Retail Sales Monitor is due on July 15, while the Inflation Rate will take centre stage on July 16 and the UK labour market report will be in the spotlight on July 17.
USD/JPY left behind two weekly declines in a row to reclaim the 147.00 hurdle and beyond on Friday. Machinery Orders, Capacity Utilisation, Industrial Production, and the Tertiary Industry Index will all be released on July 14. On July 17 will come the Reuters Tankan Index, Balance of Trade results, and the weekly Foreign Bond Investment figures. Japan’s Inflation Rate will be published on July 18.
AUD/USD retreated marginally on Friday, although not before hitting new yearly tops in the boundaries of the 0.6600 barrier. The Westpac Consumer Confidence comes on July 15, while Consumer Inflation Expectations and the key Australian jobs report are due on July 17.
Anticipating economic perspectives: Voices on the horizonThe ECB’S Cipollone speaks on July 14.The ECB’s Buch and the Fed’s Barr, Bowman, and Collins will all speak on July 15 along with the BoE’s Bailey.The Fed’s Logan, Hammack, and Barr are due to speak on July 16.The Fed’s Williams, Daly, Kugler, and Cook speak on July 17.The Fed’s Waller speaks on July 18, followed by the ECB’s Nagel.
Central banks: Upcoming meetings to shape monetary policiesThe BI meets on July 16 (act. 5.50% vs. 5.25% exp.).
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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Digital asset prices are subject to high market risk and price volatility. The value of your investment may go down or up, and you may not get back the amount invested. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions and Binance is not available for any losses you may incur. Past performance is not a reliable predictor of future performance. You should only invest in products you are familiar with and where you understand the risks. You should carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives and risk tolerance and consult an independent financial adviser prior to making any investment.

The United States is taking a bold step toward cryptocurrency adoption. Several states are now introducing their own strategic Bitcoin ($BTC) reserves, marking a historic turning point for digital finance. But why are these reserves so revolutionary? And how can they evolve to generate even greater value?

Bitcoin: A Strategic Store of Value

Since its inception, Bitcoin has established itself as a cornerstone of digital assets. Resistant to inflation and independent of traditional monetary policies, it represents an attractive store of value for individuals and, now, for state institutions.

By incorporating Bitcoin reserves, these states are not merely securing an asset for the future. They’re also sending a powerful message: Bitcoin is now considered a vital element of national economic and financial strategy.

But there’s more. These reserves could go beyond simply holding digital assets. By leveraging innovative tools like Solv’s protocol, they could generate significant yields through Bitcoin’s on-chain capabilities.

Solv and the Future of Strategic Bitcoin Reserves

Imagine this: the Bitcoin reserves held by states aren’t just stored but actively utilized to generate BTC yields through secure DeFi solutions. That’s precisely what Solv offers with its on-chain Bitcoin Reserve.

With this technology, it becomes possible to:

1. Maximize returns: Reserves could generate passive income without selling the assets.

2. Enhance security: Solv’s protocols ensure transparency and decentralized fund management.

3. Innovate public finance: States could reinvest these yields into infrastructure projects or other public initiatives.

By adopting a proactive approach, states are not just accumulating Bitcoin but actively working to make it more productive.

A Model for the World?

This initiative could become a blueprint for other nations. Tokenization and the integration of solutions like Solv demonstrate that Bitcoin’s potential goes far beyond its current role as a store of value.

In a world where the economy is rapidly evolving, adopting innovative strategies is essential to remain competitive. These strategic reserves thus mark the beginning of a new era.

Conclusion: The Future Is Now

Strategic Bitcoin reserves, combined with yields generated through technologies like Solv, embody a bold and innovative vision.

While some still doubt the future of cryptocurrencies, these initiatives prove that Bitcoin is no longer merely a speculative asset but a powerful tool for governments and institutions alike.

The future of digital finance
is here. Are you ready to be part of it?
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Let’s dive into one of the most jaw-dropping crypto success stories ever: the legendary move of NoNzee—the trader who predicted disaster for $LUNA and capitalized BIG time! 👀💥
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💡 What is Shorting?
Shorting is a daring strategy where traders bet against a crypto or stock. They sell it first (without owning it), expecting to buy it back later at a lower price and pocket the difference. High risk, high reward! ⚖️💥
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📉 The $LUNA Collapse:
In May 2022, $LUNA (Terra blockchain’s star coin) went from $90 to near ZERO in a catastrophic crash! 😱 Why?
Faith in the Terra ecosystem crumbled.
The algorithmic stablecoin $UST collapsed.
A massive bank run triggered a chain reaction. 💥
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🔥 NoNzee’s Billion-Dollar Play:
While the world watched $LUNA’s hype, NoNzee saw the storm coming. He placed a massive SHORT when $LUNA was at its peak of $90! ⚔️ He bet it would tank—and he was dead right. 🙌
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💸 The Outcome? Pure Fortune:
As $LUNA nosedived to near-zero, NoNzee’s $1,000 investment turned into a jaw-dropping $1 BILLION! 🤯💥
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🎯 Lessons from NoNzee’s Epic Win:
1️⃣ Knowledge is Power 🔍
Deep market research gave NoNzee the edge to predict the collapse.
2️⃣ Risk Management is Key ⚖️
Shorting is risky, but with the right strategy, it can lead to legendary rewards.
3️⃣ Adaptability Wins 📈
Markets shift fast—traders who adapt can turn disaster into profit.
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🚨 Remember: Trading isn’t for the faint of heart. Do your homework, manage risk, and always have a strategy! 💡
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