bulish

A significant shift is occurring within the XRP market, painting a picture of a fragile ecosystem caught between persistent selling pressure and the potential for fresh institutional demand. Recent on-chain data reveals that a staggering 41.5% of the XRP supply—approximately 26.5 billion tokens—is now held at a loss, the lowest profitability level since November 2024.
A Top-Heavy and Vulnerable Market
According to analytics firm Glassnode, the share of XRP supply in profit has fallen to 58.5%. This is a stark contrast to the situation a year prior when the price was around $0.53. Today, despite trading nearly four times higher at around $2.15, the market is showing signs of being "top-heavy." This term describes a market structure where a large portion of holders bought their coins at higher prices, making them more vulnerable to selling at a loss if the price declines further.
Analysts point out that many investors likely entered the market when XRP was above $3.00 during peaks in January, July, and September of 2025. The subsequent 40%+ slide from July's high of $3.65 has left a sizable group of holders with significant paper losses. This concentration of "underwater" holders raises the risk of increased selling pressure, as investors may look to exit their positions to limit further losses, especially if key support levels break.
Key Price Levels to Watch
At the time of reporting, XRP is trading around $2.19, down more than 10% over the past week. Market technicians are closely watching the **$2.15 - $2.16 area** as a critical support foothold.
#Bulish Scenario: If buyers successfully defend this level, a bounce toward the $2.35 – $2.60 range is considered possible.
#bearish Scenario: A clear break below this support could trigger a cascade of stop-loss orders and lead to a further retracement towards lower price levels.
ETF Inflows: A Potential Counterbalance
Amid the concerning on-chain signals, a wave of new Spot XRP Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) offers a potential counterbalance. Canary Capital launched the first spot-XRP ETF on November 13, reportedly posting the strongest first-day results for a US ETF in 2025.
Adding to the momentum, Franklin Templeton's spot XRP ETF (EZRP) launched on November 18, a development that has sparked bullish sentiment among some investors. These ETFs could potentially bring a new wave of institutional and retail demand, offsetting the selling pressure from distressed holders.
The near-term price action for #xrp is likely to be a battle between these two forces: the structural fragility of a top-heavy holder base and the new potential capital flows from ETFs.
The Bottom Line

$XRP is currently stuck in a tense equilibrium. While renewed activity on the XRP Ledger and clearer regulatory frameworks in some jurisdictions have provided a slight sentiment boost, the market's underlying structure is fragile. For the price to stabilize and resume an upward trajectory, it will need to see either a significant easing of profit-taking pressure, a strong defense of the $2.15 support level, or a substantial influx of fresh capital from the newly launched #ETFs . All eyes are now on whether buyers can hold the line or if the weight of unrealized losses will push the #altcoins lower.
$BTC
$XRP

What is XAN? (Educational + Value)
$XAN

XAN is the native token of Anoma, an intent-based coordination protocol that allows users to declare their intent and let solver networks execute them across multiple chains using ZK privacy + interoperability.



Total supply: 10 billion
Circulating: ~2.5 billion
Utilities: Governance, fee settlement, validator staking, ecosystem participation.





Fundamental Outlook (Why XAN Matters)


✔ Backed by major VCs like Polychain, Coinbase Ventures, Delphi

✔ Strong zero-knowledge privacy + multi-chain tech

✔ Large developer interest because Anoma is an infra-layer, not just another DEX/L1


⚠ Risk Factor:



Airdrop overhang + future unlock schedule can create sell-pressure.
Market sentiment swings sharply due to high volatility.





Market Status (Nov 2025 Snapshot)



Current Price: ~$0.0285
ATH: ~$0.2728 (still ~90% below ATH → deep-value zone)
Volume: Stable but no major breakout yet
Trend: Range-bound with accumulation signs





🔭 Momentum Drivers (What Smart Money Sees)



Early airdrop sellers are mostly flushed out → supply getting absorbed by stronger hands.
Community & developer interest growing again.
If Anoma launches more real use-cases, demand for XAN may jump.
Still, unlock cycles in the future can bring temporary dumps.





📊 Trade Analysis + Signals (Short-Term)


🔵 Buy Zone



Primary Buy Zone: $0.027 – $0.030 (best accumulation zone)
High-Risk Buy: $0.025 (deep-dip entry, only for aggressive traders)


🎯 Targets



Target 1: $0.040
Target 2: $0.045
Target 3 (Mid-term): $0.060 – $0.080 (if momentum + network activity increase)


🛑 Stop-Loss



$0.024 – $0.025 (break below = potential deeper drop)





🧠 Logic + Insight (Why This Setup Works)



Post-airdrop accumulation: After initial sell-off, fresh demand often builds during consolidation.
Infra projects recover faster: Anoma is not hype-driven; it’s infrastructure — long-term potential is stronger.
Price is deep retraced: Being 90% below ATH gives high R/R for short-term momentum trades.
Volatility = Opportunity: XAN moves fast in both directions → perfect for planned entry + strict stop-loss.





📌 Final Thoughts


XAN is volatile, early-stage, and high-risk — but also high-potential due to its unique tech stack.

If managed with proper entries + stop losses, it can deliver strong short-term relief moves.


➡ Traders: Follow levels strictly

➡ Investors: Track Anoma’s roadmap + dev growth

➡ Everyone: Always DYOR before entering any volatile Asset. #BTC90kBreakingPoint #MarketPullback #Bulish #StrategyBTCPurchase #XAN