According to Jinshi Data reports, the CME 'FedWatch' shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in May is 93.3%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 6.7%.
By June, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates is 41.3%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 55.0%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 3.7%.