PEPE:
PEPE is trading under pressure, recently dropping significantly — a nearly 10% slide on December 1 added fresh bearish momentum to the meme-coin market. The token is hovering near a fragile support zone around $0.0000040–$0.0000042 — if this fails, expect a possible fall toward $0.0000035–$0.0000038. On the upside, a relief bounce might target $0.0000050–$0.0000055, but that would require renewed volume or a shift in sentiment.
Despite occasional rebounds — sometimes triggered by whale activity or social-media hype — PEPE’s underlying fundamentals remain weak: it lacks real utility and is highly driven by speculation. With macroeconomic uncertainty and risk-off sentiment dominating, the short-term bias stays bearish to neutral. Only a strong catalyst or renewed community momentum could revive chances for a meaningful rally.
$PEPE
{spot}(PEPEUSDT)
$ZEN
ZENUSDT – Bounce From Local Demand | Early Reversal Attempt
ZEN has shown its first strong green push after a long sell-off, bouncing from the $9.50 demand region. Buyers stepped in with a clean rejection wick, indicating early signs of accumulation.
As long as price holds above $9.45, a short-term bullish continuation is possible.
Trade Plan (Long Setup)
Entry (Long): $9.65 – $9.85 (enter on small dips toward demand)
Target 1: $10.35
Target 2: $11.10
Stop Loss: $9.42 (below demand zone & invalidation)
My View
ZEN has printed its first meaningful bounce after extended downside, with clear buyer activity at the demand pocket.
If bullish momentum continues, price can move into the low-volume region above and fill inefficiencies toward $10+.
Structure remains bullish as long as the demand zone is protected.
Bias: Bullish above $9.45
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade with proper risk management.
#zen
{future}(ZENUSDT)
South Korea Eyes New Stablecoin Rules by December — What It Means for Crypto
The ruling Democratic Party of Korea has set a firm deadline: the government must submit a draft stablecoin regulation bill by December 10, 2025. If regulators miss this deadline, lawmakers have threatened to advance the legislation themselves.
What’s the Proposed Framework?
The draft bill reportedly allows only consortia where commercial banks hold at least 51% of equity to issue won-denominated stablecoins.
The goal is to strike a balance between financial stability and fintech innovation — aligning the mandates of the Bank of Korea (BOK) and the Financial Services Commission (South Korea) (FSC).
Why the Push Now?
Stablecoin regulation has been stuck for months due to disagreements — primarily over who should be allowed to issue stablecoins. The BOK pushed for strict bank-dominance (to safeguard monetary stability), while regulators looked for a more inclusive model.
With global peers like the U.S. and EU already advancing stablecoin laws, South Korea wants to move fast to avoid falling behind and to provide legal clarity to its booming crypto market.
What This Could Bring
A clear regulatory structure for won-pegged stablecoins — potentially encouraging local usage and trust.
More confidence among investors and institutions, as stablecoins may become recognized legal-compliant instruments.
A foundation for the broader upcoming digital-asset legislation, expected to pass by January 2026.
Bottom line: South Korea is on the cusp of formalizing stablecoin regulation — with a December 10 deadline that could finally unlock clear rules for issuers and investors alike.
Federal Reserve December Rate Cut Much More Likely, Markets Price in ~87% Chance
Markets are increasingly betting that the Fed will reduce interest rates in December. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the implied probability of a 25-basis-point cut now stands at 87.2% — a sharp climb from just a few weeks ago.
This shift reflects growing expectations that the Fed may ease monetary policy at its upcoming FOMC meeting on December 9–10 — as investors weigh soft economic data, weaker labor signals, and persistent uncertainty over inflation.
What’s Behind the Surge in Rate-Cut Odds
Dovish Fed signals & economic softness: Recent remarks from several Fed officials have underscored potential openness to further rate cuts if labor conditions worsen or growth falters.
Soft macro data: Indications of slowing demand, cooling hiring, and weaker consumer sentiment have contributed to rising expectations of monetary easing.
Rapid change in market sentiment: In just a short span, probabilities shifted from under 40% to near-certainty — highlighting how sensitive markets are to new data and commentary.
Implications Across Markets
U.S. dollar under pressure: As rate-cut bets rise, the dollar index has already slumped, marking its worst week in months.
Risk assets may rally: Lower interest rates tend to drive capital toward growth and speculative assets — equities, commodities, and cryptos could benefit.
Borrowers & corporates may get relief: Lower benchmark rates could ease borrowing costs for mortgages, loans, and corporate financing — potentially helping consumers and businesses alike.
Takeaway: With market odds for a December cut now at about 87%, investors should brace for a potentially dovish move by the Fed. If signs of economic weakness persist, the December meeting could mark the start of a new easing cycle — reshaping dynamics for currencies, equities, fixed income, and risk-sensitive assets.
$ETH
ETHUSDT – Retest of Broken Support | Bearish Pullback Setup
ETH has reclaimed the sharp breakdown zone near $3,000–$3,015, but this area still acts as a major VPVR supply block, where sellers previously dominated.
The recent bounce is strong, but until ETH holds above $3,015, upside remains limited and rejection risk is high.
As long as price stays below $3,015, bearish continuation is favored.
Trade Plan (Short Setup)
Entry (Short): $2,995 – $3,010
(Ideal entry on rejection from the supply zone.)
Target 1: $2,945
Target 2: $2,880
Stop Loss: $3,028
(Above the current supply zone & VPVR heavy resistance cluster.)
My View
ETH bounced sharply from the liquidity pocket, but the structure is still weak unless it breaks above $3,015 cleanly.
VPVR shows strong selling pressure at the current zone, making it the highest-probability rejection area.
Momentum indicators are recovering, but price is still inside a bearish correction channel.
If ETH gets rejected from $3,000–$3,015 again, another leg down is highly probable.
Bias: Bearish below $3,015
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always use proper risk management.
#ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
$BTC
BTC Reclaims 91K — But Sellers Still Control the Structure
BTC has bounced sharply back into the 90.8K–91.3K supply zone, which previously acted as major support before the breakdown.
This entire region now behaves as heavy resistance, confirmed by VPVR showing thick selling pressure.
Until price holds above 91.3K with strength, upside remains limited.
Below this zone, short setups still have higher probability.
Trade Plan (Short Setup)
Entry (Short): $91,200 – $91,500 (at rejection from supply zone)
Target 1: $89,600
Target 2: $87,400
Stop Loss: $92,050 (above supply cluster + invalidation level)
My View
BTC has returned into the previous breakdown zone, but the structure has not turned bullish yet.
VPVR clearly shows a large supply wall around 91.2K–91.5K, meaning buyers need strong volume to break it.
Momentum on this bounce looks corrective, not a true reversal.
If BTC gets rejected in the supply zone, downside continuation toward lower liquidity pockets remains likely.
Bias: Bearish below $91,300
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always use proper risk management.
#BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
Dollar May Come Under Pressure as Fed Rate-Cut Odds Rise — What It Means for Markets
With growing expectations that Federal Reserve (the Fed) might cut interest rates soon, analysts warn that the US Dollar could feel the heat.
Why the Dollar Might Weaken
As markets price in potential rate cuts, the yield advantage of dollar-denominated assets shrinks — making the greenback less attractive to global investors.
Indeed, recent data have shown signs of economic slowdown: weak retail sales and mixed inflation indicators have reinforced dovish sentiment and bolstered expectations of a rate cut.
With declining U.S. yields and reduced demand for dollar safety, the Dollar Index (DXY) has already shown signs of softening against major currencies.
Bigger Implications — For Currencies, Assets & Crypto
Emerging market currencies (like INR, BRL, TRY, etc.) could get a boost as capital flows out of the dollar and back to riskier, higher-yielding markets.
Commodities and metals — typically priced in USD — may become more appealing, potentially pushing up gold, silver, and other commodity prices.
Crypto assets might also benefit: a weaker dollar can revive risk-appetite, encourage flows into Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other tokens.
What to Watch Next
Keep an eye on the Fed’s upcoming meetings and any signals from Fed officials on rate cuts or monetary easing.
Watch the Dollar Index (DXY) — a sustained move down could confirm a bearish dollar cycle.
Monitor capital flows, global bond yields, and demand for non-USD assets — they’ll offer clues to sentiment shifts.
In short: If the Fed does cut rates, the Dollar may lose some of its safe-haven shine. That could ripple across markets — benefiting emerging-market assets, commodities, and risk assets like crypto.
Ethereum Faces Pressure as Market Volatility Intensifies
The crypto world is shaken — and Ethereum (ETH) is taking a hard hit. Over the last 24 hours, ETH plunged below $2,900, extending a sharp slide that has erased roughly 27% of its value in the past month and over 40% since recent highs.
What’s Driving the Drop?
A wave of leverage-driven liquidations swept through the market. As ETH dipped below key support levels, automated margin calls triggered, wiping out millions in long positions almost instantly.
The broader risk-off mood struck hard. With macro uncertainty rising — including global interest-rate jitters and central-bank moves — investors moved away from high-beta assets like crypto.
Weak liquidity added fuel to the fall. Thin order books accelerated price swings.
Where ETH Stands Now — Support Under Pressure
Technical analysts warn that ETH may be entering a “bear-flag” breakdown: a bearish continuation pattern that, if triggered, could push prices toward $1,500–$1,800.
On-chain fundamentals provide a mixed outlook. While staking activity remains strong and blockchain usage is robust, fee burn — once a deflationary tailwind — is cooling due to high Layer-2 adoption and lower mainnet transaction volume.
For Traders & Investors — What to Do
Avoid high leverage right now. The recent liquidation avalanche underscores the risk of leveraged positions in turbulent markets.
Consider dollar-cost averaging (DCA) or waiting. If you believe in ETH long-term, averaging in smaller amounts may help mitigate volatility.
Watch liquidity and macro signals. Even if ETH steadies, global risk factors could keep pressure high.
Diversify risk — don’t put all eggs in one basket. Mixing cryptocurrencies, stablecoins, or even traditional assets may shield part of your exposure.
Ethereum’s potential for innovation and growth remains — but in the current climate, volatility is high and the path forward seems rocky. Approach with caution, keep an eye on fundamentals, and be ready for turbulence ahead.