Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is widely expected to maintain the current federal funds rate (4.25–4.50%) at the July 30 meeting, but his communication could hint at potential rate cuts beginning as early as September or October — depending on incoming economic data such as inflation and employment trends .
Several Fed governors—particularly Trump appointees Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman—may dissent from the consensus, advocating for immediate rate reductions to support weak private-sector job growth and rising political pressure to ease monetary policy .
Markets are pricing in virtually no chance of a rate cut in July, but there is optimism for a 64% probability of a 25-basis-point cut in September based on CME FedWatch tool projections .
🚀 Why This Matters for Bitcoin: Bullish Sentiment Taking Shape
Bitcoin has historically rallied around FOMC announcements even when rates were held steady, as the resolution of uncertainty often triggers risk‑on flows and forward-looking sentiment .
Analysts note that lower interest rates tend to weaken the U.S. dollar and reduce borrowing costs, typically fueling demand for risk assets like Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies .
With the Fed signaling a patient, data-dependent stance but opening the door to gradual easing, crypto traders are positioning for a potential bullish acceleration in Bitcoin’s price .