According to Deep Tide TechFlow, on July 30, CME's "FedWatch" data showed that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July was 97.4%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut was 2.6%.
The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 34.6%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 63.7%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 1.7%.