The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 79.8%

According to Jin Shi data reports, CME's 'Fed Watch' shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 79.8%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 20.2%.

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 5.3%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 75.9%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 18.8%.