According to Deep Tide TechFlow, Bloomberg economic analysts stated that U.S. President Trump’s suspension of reciprocal tariff measures is about to expire, intertwining rising geopolitical risks with potential tariff escalation.
The Middle East conflict may lead to a surge in oil prices, and in extreme cases, crude oil prices could exceed $130 per barrel, potentially bringing the U.S. summer CPI close to 4%, prompting the Federal Reserve to delay interest rate cuts.
The report indicates that a significant rise in oil or natural gas prices or trade turmoil will become a constraint on the world economy.
● Market news: Iranian parliament approves the closure of the Strait of Hormuz
According to Deep Tide TechFlow, on June 22, market news showed that the Iranian parliament has approved the proposal to close the Strait of Hormuz. However, this measure still requires a final decision from the highest security agency.
● The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in July is 84.5%
According to Jin Ten Data, CME's 'Fed Watch' indicates that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in July is 84.5%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 15.5%.
In addition, the probability of maintaining interest rates in September is 30%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at 60% and a cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut at 10%.
● French parliament member invites Jan3 founder to discuss strategic Bitcoin reserve plan
According to Deep Tide TechFlow, on June 22, French European Parliament member Sarah Knafo invited Jan3 founder Samson Mow to visit France to discuss establishing a strategic Bitcoin reserve and promoting friendly regulation. Mow expressed anticipation to spark a national-level Bitcoin adoption wave in France and across Europe.
This move occurs against the backdrop of increasing Bitcoin participation in the public and private sectors in France, including the announcement by the state-owned bank Bpifrance to invest $27 million to support local crypto projects, and Blockchain Group, Europe's first Bitcoin treasury company, increasing its Bitcoin holdings to 1,471 BTC.
● Metaplanet CEO: Bitcoin is a safe haven in uncertain times
According to ChainCatcher, Simon Gerovich, CEO of the Japanese listed company Metaplanet, tweeted that Bitcoin is a safe haven in uncertain times. Resilient. Borderless. Unstoppable.
● Staked ETH on the Ethereum network surpasses 35 million, setting a new record
According to ChainCatcher, the amount of staked ETH on the Ethereum network has reached a historical high, with over 35 million ETH currently locked, accounting for more than 28.3% of its total supply. This reflects the market's sustained confidence and participation in Ethereum 2.0 upgrade and its staking mechanism.
● James Wynn predicts Bitcoin short-term price target of $93,000 to $95,000
According to ChainCatcher, James Wynn tweeted a prediction for Bitcoin's short-term price target range of $93,000 to $95,000. With global geopolitical tensions high, other countries may join the conflict, and Bitcoin prices could fall further. Even aside from the war, the U.S. is not cutting rates, and the only 'positive' factor is the global M2 money supply, which does not come from the dollar.
