According to data from Jinshi, CME's 'Fed Watch' shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 94.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 5.6%.
The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 74.9%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 23.9%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 1.1%.