With ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood predicting that Bitcoin could reach $1 million by 2030, speculation is mounting about what this could mean for altcoins like Rippleโs XRP in the coming years. If BTC skyrockets to such heights, how much could XRP be worth by then? Letโs explore a few possible scenarios.
Cathie Wood Believes in a Million-Dollar Bitcoin
In a recent CNBC interview, Cathie Wood reaffirmed her bullish outlook on Bitcoin, stating that the top cryptocurrency could climb as high as $1.5 million by 2030.
โWe've always had a target for 2030. Our base case is between $700,000 and $750,000, with the bull case going up to $1.5 million,โ she said.
Wood believes this growth will be driven by Bitcoinโs increasing role as a store of value, growing institutional adoption, and broader use in emerging marketsโsimilar forces the Ripple community hopes will boost XRPโs value.
What Will 1 XRP Be Worth If BTC Hits $1 Million?
Here are three possible projections for XRPโs price in 2030 based on different market share scenarios:
๐น Scenario 1: XRP Maintains a 6.8% Market Share of BTC
If XRP keeps its current market share of around 6.8% relative to Bitcoinโs market cap, and BTC reaches a $20 trillion market cap (with 1 BTC = $1 million), XRPโs total value would be about $1.3 trillion.
Assuming a stable circulating supply of 58 billion XRP, that puts 1 XRP at roughly $23.
๐ This is considered the most realistic projection.
๐น Scenario 2: XRP Captures 10% of BTC Market Cap
If Rippleโs ecosystem gains more traction and XRP captures 10% of Bitcoinโs value, its market cap would hit $2 trillion, pushing XRPโs price to $35.
๐ A more aggressive scenario, but not impossible with strong institutional support.
๐น Scenario 3: XRP Grabs 20% of BTC Market Share
If the SEC lawsuit is resolved favorably and XRP gains broader adoption, it could potentially match 20% of Bitcoinโs market cap by 2030. That would require a total market cap of $4 trillionโtranslating to $68 per XRP.
๐ Highly ambitiousโbut possible if XRP achieves mainstream utility across the globe.
What Could Drive XRP to $23?
๐น Spot XRP ETF approval โ A US-based ETF could invite significant institutional investment.
๐น End of the SEC lawsuit โ A favorable ruling could unlock a surge in retail investor confidence.
๐น Regulatory clarity โ With better legal frameworks, XRP could be embraced as a mainstream asset.
Currently, only 23% of US investors hold XRPโbut with clarity and access, that number could rise rapidly.
Conclusion
If Cathie Woodโs $1 million Bitcoin prediction becomes reality by 2030, then XRP could reasonably reach $23, even with modest market share. With strong adoption, regulation, and infrastructure, that number could be much higher.
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