$AVAX 🔍 Key Indicators & Data
1. Price: $16.96 (-3.25%)
🔻 Trading below all EMAs – deep bearish zone
2. 📊 EMAs:
EMA(7): $17.79
EMA(25): $19.61
EMA(99): $21.77
🔴 Bearish alignment across all timeframes
3. 🧨 Momentum Extremes:
RSI(6): 19.24 – lowest on record
StochRSI: 1.64 / 1.46 – near-zero → Max reversal signal
4. 🔊 Volume:
Current: 568,076 AVAX
MA(5): 1.81M | MA(10): 2.07M
📉 Only 31% of average = capitulation exhaustion
5. 🔁 Support/Resistance Levels:
🛡 Support: $16.32 → $15.79 → $15.00 (psych)
🧱 Resistance: $17.64 → $17.79 (EMA7) → $18.11
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📈 Price Prediction
⏳ Short-Term (12–24H)
🔁 85% probability of retesting $16.32
🔼 Bounce → up to $17.64–17.79 (4–5% gain)
🔻 Break → drop to $15.79 (3.3% drop)
🧪 Catalyst: RSI < 20 + StochRSI ≈ 0 = Strongest reversal setup since 2022
📅 Medium-Term (3–7 Days)
🟢 Bullish Case (30%):
Hold $16.32 → recover to $18.11–19.61
🔴 Bearish Case (70%):
Break $16.32 → drop to $15.00
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🧠 Trade Plan
🔴 SHORT TRADE (Momentum Breakdown – 60% Probability)
Entry:
🟣 $16.90 (now)
🔼 $17.30 (dead cat bounce)
Targets:
🎯 $16.32 (TP1 – 50%)
🎯 $15.79 (TP2 – full exit)
Stop Loss: ❌ $17.70
⚖️ Risk/Reward: 1:10+
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🟢 LONG TRADE (Extreme Reversal – 40% Probability)
Entry:
🛒 $16.35–$16.40 (bounce zone)
Targets:
🎯 $16.96 (break-even)
🎯 $17.64 (24h high – 60% exit)
🎯 $17.79 (EMA7 – full exit)
Stop Loss: ❌ $16.25
✅ Confirmation:
StochRSI > 5
🔊 Volume spike > 1M AVAX
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🧩 Critical Summary
🔴 SHORT TRADE
Trigger: Breakdown below $16.80
Targets: $16.32 → $15.79
Invalidation: 4h close > $17.70
🟢 LONG TRADE
Trigger: Bounce at $16.35 with confirmation
Targets: $17.64 → $17.79
Invalidation: 4h close < $16.25
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🛡 Risk Management Protocol
💼 Capital Allocation: Max 0.7% per trade
⚙️ Leverage: Max 3x (high volatility coin)
🔁 Adjustments:
🔻 Break < $16.25 → Extend short to $15.00
🔼 Break > $17.70 → Extend long to $18.11–19.61
📆 Execution Rule: Confirm entries via 4h candle close
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⚠️ Final Warning
> 🧨 AVAX’s RSI 19.24 + StochRSI 1.64 = historic oversold zone
💣 Reversal risk is high – rebound could exceed 10%+ intraday
🔍 Watch Bitcoin dominance + Avalanche subnet activity
💸 Only trade with risk capital – preserve capital in high-volatility zones
Take Trade From here
$AVAX ---
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