$BTC Another week’s close reveals that BTC is below $100,000 and is currently forming a new macro trend that started a few weeks ago. In the coming weeks, we will learn where this new trend's new range will be established. There has been no change regarding the macro plan below $100,000. The macro trend remains negative. BTC's trading price is below the weekly MSB area, the weekly simple moving average, and below the support of the weekly RSI. As long as this area is not reclaimed, I expect significantly lower levels next year, possibly dropping to the weekly oversold RSI, followed by bullish divergence on higher time frames.
From a lower time frame perspective, BTC is still in a price oscillation channel. Last night, it tested the lower end of the range again and has held. The 94K-96K area is key to reclaiming for further upside, which also aligns with the daily RSI's 50 area, where it recently encountered strong resistance. The 88K-87K area is key to avoiding a deeper drop into the 80K lows, where BTC will form a 3D bullish divergence. This remains an ideal scenario for stronger consistency signals, indicating that BTC may significantly reverse as we enter the first quarter of 2026, although the macro trend remains negative. Any situation between this channel is an oscillation zone. #美联储降息
