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WALL STREET JUST KILLED THE CRYPTO MARKET YOU KNEW Eighteen months ago, Bitcoin was a wild frontier. Today, BlackRock owns it. The numbers are staggering. IBIT now commands $38 billion in Bitcoin options open interest. Deribit, the offshore giant that dominated since 2016, sits at $32 billion. For the first time in history, a Wall Street ETF controls more Bitcoin derivatives than every crypto exchange combined. This is not evolution. This is extinction. Bitcoin’s 90-day volatility has collapsed from 90 to 38 over four years. A 58% structural decline. The asset that once moved 15% on a Tuesday now trades like a tech stock with better marketing. Cathie Wood said it plainly: “The four-year cycle is being broken.” She is correct. Institutional adoption has absorbed the sell pressure that once created 70-80% drawdowns. The violent winters that forged crypto fortunes are being engineered out of existence. Today, $4.3 billion in options expire at 08:00 UTC. Max pain sits at $90,000. But here is what the old playbook misses: Deribit expiry signals now capture less than half the actual market. The other half trades on Nasdaq under a BlackRock ticker. Your historical correlations are dying. Max pain pinning rates are falling. Volatility premiums are compressing. The covered call sellers have arrived, and they are harvesting what remains of Bitcoin’s wild soul. Standard Chartered just slashed their 2025 target from $200,000 to $100,000. Not because Bitcoin failed. Because it succeeded too well at becoming what institutions wanted. The crypto market that created billionaires from bedroom traders is over. What remains is a regulated, volatility-dampened, ETF-wrapped version of digital gold. The revolution has been acquired. Adapt accordingly. $BTC
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WHAT IF THE REAL ALTSEASON STARTS FROM JAN 2026?
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Bitcoin's bear flag break down to $80k-$85k is still my base case. ("Path B" in image) 👇 Read more in post below👇
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$BTC My 14th pivot is approaching. If we follow the same pattern as seen for 5 months, BTC should drop 5% minimum after the 14th. This would be equivalent to testing 85-86K
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BREAKING: The 10am manipulation is back. Bitcoin dropped $2,000 in 35 minutes and wiped out $40 billion from its market cap. $132 million worth of longs have been liquidated in the past 60 minutes. This is getting ridiculous. $BTC
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