$ZEC What is the situation now?
Core Judgment
Currently, ZEC has dropped too much and is in a technical recovery phase after being oversold. On the four-hour level, the RSI indicator is severely oversold, and the price has temporarily stabilized in the range of 356 - 363. However, there is significant pressure from the MA30 and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands above, and the MACD shows that the downward momentum is weakening, but the bearish trend has not changed.
Technical Signal Interpretation
Oversold rebound signal: The RSI indicator is fully oversold, with RSI1 reaching an all-time low. After breaking the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, it has returned to confirm. In the negative value range of MACD, the difference between DIF and DEA is decreasing, indicating that the downward momentum is fading, and there is a possibility of a short-term rebound. Moving Average System: MA7 has crossed below MA30 to form a dead cross, and the distance between EMA7 and EMA30 has widened. All moving averages are in a bearish arrangement, and any rebound will face significant resistance.
Key Positions on the Liquidation Heatmap
There is significant liquidation pressure in the range of 390 - 420 above, and there is also a secondary liquidation area near 450. The liquidation intensity in the range of 350 - 360 is low, providing technical support. The market depth is insufficient.
Operational Strategy
For short-term rebounds, entry can be made at 355 - 360, with targets of 380 - 390 and a stop loss at 348, using 5% of the position; for trend short positions, wait for a rebound to 400 - 410 before entering, with targets of 350 - 340 and a stop loss at 420, using 3% of the position; for breakout trading, enter if it stabilizes at 390, with targets of 420 - 450 and a stop loss at 375, using 3% of the position. Trading must strictly adhere to stop losses, and leverage should not exceed 3 times, with a focus on whether the resistance level at 390 can be broken.
Summary
ZEC is currently in a struggle between oversold rebounds and a downward trend, and it is recommended to use light positions for short-term trading. The situation of breaking through the 390 - 420 range is very critical; before there is a clear signal of a trend reversal, the main strategy should be to short during rebounds. Privacy coin policy risks are high, liquidity is poor, and volatility is severe, so be cautious with position control.
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