What If – XRP Spot ETF Scenario
What if XRP’s spot ETF attracts similar capital flows as Bitcoin did in its first year?
1. High Inflow Scenario (~50B USD)
If XRP receives $50B in inflows during the first year, this represents ~35% of current market cap.
Potential price impact: +50‑100%, price could reach $3.7‑5.0.
Market conditions, liquidity, and sentiment will influence the final outcome.
2. Medium Inflow Scenario (~25B USD)
$25B inflows → ~18% of market cap.
Potential price impact: +30‑60%, price could reach $3.2‑4.0.
3. Low Inflow Scenario (~5B USD, first-month estimate)
$5B inflows → ~3.5% of market cap.
Potential price impact: +10‑30%, price could reach $2.8‑3.5.
