$ZEC The recent trend of (Zcash) has made many people anxious—sliding down, shrinking volume, and it seems the 500 mark has been breached. Many friends have privately messaged me asking: "Brother Hua, is the next stop really 400?"

Don't rush, let's take it apart little by little.

1. Why has ZEC been so weak recently?

From an overall perspective, ZEC's recent weakness is actually a result of the resonance between funding structure and sentiment.

1️⃣ The capital rotation is too fast.

Recently, the main focus has been on AI, DeFi, and public chains, while the privacy coin sector has clearly seen a decline in heat, leading to a slow return of funds.

If the main force does not come to接盘 (pick up the shares), the price can only gradually test support downwards.


2️⃣ The technical aspect is bearish

From the daily chart structure, the volume continues to shrink, and the K-line lows are continuously moving downwards, which is a typical 'weak rebound, strong fall' pattern.

Without obvious buying support, it naturally can't hold the key level.


3️⃣ Market confidence is insufficient

There have been no new developments in the narrative of privacy coins recently, and ZEC lacks catalysts in the short term.

Everyone is watching, 'if it doesn't rise, no one will buy; if no one buys, it won't rise even more,' entering a vicious cycle.



Second, will it really drop to 400?

To be honest, the 400 point is not just a random shout; it indeed has its logic.

From a technical structure perspective, around 400 is the bottom of the last medium-term range for ZEC, which is an important support area.

Once the market continues to drop in volume, the probability of testing 400 is very high.


But this does not mean ZEC is 'done for'.

If there is a decrease in volume around 400 and stabilizes for several days, coupled with some positive news (like the return of privacy narratives), it could be a potential left-side layout area.



Third, Brother Hua's suggestion

For friends still holding positions, remember one thing —

A drop is not scary; what’s scary is not having a bottom line.

If you have already been deeply trapped, first reduce your position to lower risk, and consider adding once the stop-loss signal appears.

If you are holding cash and watching, it is not advisable to blindly try to catch the bottom; wait until the volume increases or the rebound is confirmed before getting in.

If you really want to catch the bottom, you should buy in three batches, leaving half your bullets just in case.

Fourth, written at the end

ZEC breaking below 500 is just a process, not the end.

The market is always rotating, and emotions will eventually return.

The key is not whether you can guess the bottom, but whether you can still be at the table when the market comes back.

Maintain a steady mindset, manage your positions, and wait for the wind to rise again.

This is the most difficult and valuable practice to learn in the cryptocurrency world.#美国政府停摆 #加密市场观察 #香港稳定币新规 $DASH $FIL