1. Desperation Bottoming: Using time to squeeze out 'patient chips'
This encrypted asset has continued to retreat from a fluctuation range of $1.2, reaching a low of $0.9. The most critical signal is: trading volume has shrunk to below 30% of the recent average, and the community is filled with concerns about the significant devaluation of the asset. Many investors have begun to question the project's value, with some even claiming that 'the fundamentals have collapsed.'
This is precisely the core intention of the main force: the wash is not about price, but about the psychological tolerance of retail investors. When market sentiment shifts from 'wait and see' to 'despair', more and more people choose to cut losses and exit the market. The main force is accumulating through small orders to disperse purchases — on-chain data will reveal clues: net inflow from large addresses (holding more than 1000 coins) has begun to appear, and they often avoid market attention by using a '拆单买入' (split order buying) model. This is a key period for gathering cheap chips.
II. Inducing Traps: The 'Secondary Screening' Behind V-Shaped Reversals
Just when retail investors thought 0.9 USD was the bottom, a large bearish candle directly broke through the support level, hitting a low of 0.7 USD. Before the market could react, the price quickly rebounded to 0.95 USD, forming a seemingly strong V-shaped reversal.
Veteran players are all following the trend to 'buy the dip,' believing that the technical signal for 'bottom confirmation' has appeared. But experience tells me: V-shaped reversals without fundamental support are 90% inducement traps. As expected, the main force quietly sold off during the rebound, and the price quickly fell below the previous low to 0.65 USD, leaving those who just entered the market in a passive position, becoming the new 'screened individuals.' The core of this step is: utilizing the technical inertia of retail investors to complete a secondary washout, clearing out 'seemingly clever buying funds.'
III. The End of Panic: The 'Final Accumulation' Under Negative Bombardment
Immediately afterward, negative rumors such as the project party 'going dark' and major holders 'withdrawing funds' erupted, causing the price to collapse directly to 0.5 USD, and the market was filled with pessimistic emotions, with some even calling for an 'exit from the crypto market.'
However, at this point, on-chain data has shown significant divergence: large address net inflows have amplified for 3 consecutive days, and trading volume has not continued to shrink during the plunge, but instead showed signals of 'first breakout after volume reduction.' This is the main force's 'final harvest' — extreme panic is the best chip collector, when retail investors indiscriminately sell under negative emotions, the main force is completing the final concentration of chips at the lowest cost.
IV. Reverse Conversion Blood: The Ultimate Closed Loop of Chip Replacement
When the market generally recognizes a loss and community discussion heats up to a freezing point, the main force begins to lightly pull the market, and the price quickly rushes towards 1 USD. Investors who previously set stop-loss orders regretfully slap their thighs, onlookers rush to chase the price, and new funds continuously flow in to take over, while the main force gradually cashes out low-cost chips during the rebound.
The essence of this round of washout has never been 'snatching coins,' but rather 'changing holders': washing out low-cost, patient veteran players and replacing them with high-cost, chase-the-price new funds. When the chips complete the transfer from 'main force → retail investors,' the foundation for the next round of market movement is established.
Core Insight: The Survival Rules of Retail Investors (My 3 Practical Suggestions)
Refuse to follow emotions: The core of the main force's washout is 'emotional manipulation.' When the market is filled with wailing, pay more attention to on-chain data (large address flows, changes in trading volume) rather than community commentary;
Focus on 3 Signals: Large Address Net Inflows for More Than 3 Consecutive Days, First Breakthrough of Short-Term Moving Average After Volume Reduction, Negative News Fermentation but Prices No Longer Reach New Lows — These are the Key Signals of Reversal;
Be a contrarian trader: The essence of profit in the crypto market is 'when others are fearful, I am greedy,' but greed is not blindly buying the dip, but acting after data verification to avoid becoming the main force's 'sucker.'
The rise and fall of the crypto market has never been random, but rather a 'chip restructuring game' meticulously designed by the main force. True experts never get entangled in single-day fluctuations but see through this wave of 'emotional manipulation rhythm,' finding their own reverse opportunities within the main force's washout tactics.
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