The government shutdown crisis will be resolved. Is the cryptocurrency market "fully priced in" or is there "another wave to come"?
"Before the news lands, it's the market; after it lands, it's the risk." The latest news indicates that the U.S. Senate is just one vote away from passing a procedural vote, bringing the government shutdown crisis close to resolution. If the process goes smoothly, the U.S. government could reopen as soon as tomorrow night. The market has already reacted in advance, with Bitcoin leading the surge, and many people's accounts are recovering. But the question is: after this wave of growth, is it time to run or to charge forward?
My view is clear: don't rush to say "fully priced in."
Although the news has been digested by the market in advance, if the government really reopens, it means relief from liquidity tightness, and market sentiment will further improve. Especially in key areas like agriculture and legislation, if funding is passed smoothly, it will strengthen the expectation of a "soft landing," and funds may continue to flow into risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.
Looking back at yesterday's rise, it was driven not only by expectations of the shutdown but also by the market's collective vote on the "decrease in policy uncertainty." As long as the Federal Reserve does not release hawkish signals subsequently, this wave of sentiment is expected to continue into the middle of this week.
What should retail investors do?
For those already invested, don't be greedy; set stop-loss and take-profit levels, preserving profits is key.
For those who haven't entered yet, don't chase the highs; wait for pullbacks to accumulate positions in batches, focusing on Bitcoin and Ethereum, prioritizing stability.
For those looking to speculate on smaller coins, pay attention to tokens that are strongly correlated with the U.S. stock market (such as meme coins and AI sector), but remember: small plays can be enjoyable, but heavy investments can hurt your vitality.
The market never lacks opportunities; what it lacks is patience. If you want to closely follow real-time strategies and not miss the next starting point, pay attention to Shen Ce, enter the village, and together we can dig out gold amid the fluctuations. #美政府开门 $BTC

