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Ancient Coins Just Moved 👀
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$BTC
aged 10+ years was spent in the latest block.
(chart in comment)
BTC
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BITCOIN PLAYBOOK — into shutdown vote + CPI Catalyst • Senate path to end the 41-day shutdown + Thursday CPI at ~3.0% consensus. Resolution + a cool print = fast risk-on. Prediction markets price a deal this week. Flows • Spot ETF net YTD ≈ $64B. Last week −$1.2B. A turn to >$2B weekly inflows is the floor-maker. Levels • Pivot 110k. First demand 108.9k / 106.3k. Deeper shelves 102.4k → 98.2k. • Trigger up: sustained acceptance >121k with rising spot delta opens the air-pocket to 125.8k, then 129–131k (upper WTL tag). Plan • Buy the 109–110k retest. Add only on a clean reclaim and hold of 121k. • Invalidation: weekly close <106k. Options lane • 122/126/132 call fly for defined-risk upside. Hedge CPI with 102k puts. Falsifiers • If flows don’t flip by Friday and price can’t hold 121k, stand down and wait for a 102–100k liquidity sweep. Bear path to respect • Hot CPI (>3.0%) or Congressional stall likely forces a 96–100k liquidation wick—then reload. Thesis (one line) This cycle is ETF-damped, not ETF-dead. If flows flip and 121k holds, 125.8k is a 48–72h print; if not, we range 102–121k and buy blood. What I’m watching • House vote timing, CPI tape, spot ETF daily prints, spot delta vs perp funding, and whether 121k turns from ceiling to floor.
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🚨 BTC DOMINANCE BREAKS ITS 8-WEEK STREAK! After 8 straight weeks of green, #bitcoin dominance just printed its first red weekly candle.
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Linea. Qu’est-ce que c’est, comment ça fonctionne?
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BITCOIN’S “CRASH → SQUEEZE → MARK-UP” PLAYBOOK Not pump-and-dump. Liquidity harvest. Phase 1: flush weak hands. Phase 2: invite shorts with one more leg down. Phase 3: run it higher while retail sits on the sideline. Receipts: • Supply-in-Loss just pushed above ~28% on CryptoQuant .. levels that preceded strong rallies in this cycle as underwater coins migrate to stronger hands. • Funding and sentiment whipsaw while stablecoin balances stay broadly flat … classic “dry powder waits, price shakes” regime. • Whales rotate during panic; retail capitulates on cue. The goal isn’t trend clarity; it’s counter-party liquidation. Mechanism: forced sellers create discount inventory; trapped shorts become future buyers; the market climbs a wall built from their stops. What wins here isn’t bravado, it’s process: • Keep a core you won’t sell to volatility. • Add on forced-liquidation days, not after green candles. • Fade certainty … both doom and euphoria .. because certainty is the product being sold. History does not repeat, but it rhymes in meter: high Supply-in-Loss → positioning reset → markup while the crowd argues. Don’t trade headlines. Trade the sequence.
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🚨BREAKING: The first U.S. spot #xrp ETFs could launch next week. The DTCC just listed five spot XRP ETFS from Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, 21Shares, Canary, and CoinShares under its "active and pre-launch" category.
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