Three years ago, when I saw him downstairs in the community, he was still wearing an oil-stained delivery outfit, counting crumpled coins for today's meal; three years later, when we met again, he was sitting in front of a floor-to-ceiling window analyzing candlestick charts, and the number in his account balance made even me, an analyst who has immersed myself in the market for five years, take notice.
This is not some legendary script, but just an ordinary person who has been ground down by life, carving out a path in the crypto market by 'stubbornly adhering to patterns.'
When he initially rushed into the market, he was more awkward than most newcomers—listening to community calls and going all in, chasing high prices based on financial influencers. In less than half a year, he not only lost all the hard-earned money he saved but also accumulated a debt of tens of thousands. People around him advised, 'Delivering food is better than anything else,' but he said with red eyes, 'It's not that the market can't make money; it's that I haven't figured it out.'
Later I realized that he used the 'drive' from delivering takeout entirely on reviewing trades—no matter how tired he was, he stayed up late every night looking at K-line charts, breaking down the market data from the past five years into hourly segments, and painstakingly extracted two 'must-earn golden windows' from the chaotic fluctuations.
Two golden time periods: The key for beginners to avoid 80% of traps.
Many people often feel that 'market fluctuations are fast, and missing out means losing money'; however, there are really only a few valuable trading windows, and seizing them can directly double the winning rate:
European Market Opening Window (15:00-17:00): This is the 'certainty period' I have always emphasized to my students. After funds enter the European market, the market often breaks free from intraday fluctuations and forms a clear trend direction, with the probability of false breakouts being over 60% lower than other periods. He relied on watching this period early on, using small positions to experiment, gradually raising his win rate from 40% to over 70%.
Non-Farm Payroll Data Window (First Friday of every month at 02:30): This period has high volatility, but it is by no means 'gambling on size.' His trick is to 'wait for the first big K to confirm'—after the data is released, he does not rush to enter the market, but observes whether an entity K-line exceeding 3% is formed within 15 minutes. He enters with a light position following the trend direction, allowing him to capture volatility benefits while avoiding the traps of 'false bullish and bearish signals.' Last March, during the non-farm payroll wave, he used this tactic to earn over 20 points on mainstream coins.
Three 'stupid indicators': More reliable profit tools than complex models.
He never uses flashy combination indicators, but relies on the 'linkage signals' of three basic indicators to take simple methods to the extreme:
Bollinger Bands + Trading Volume: When the price touches the lower Bollinger Band for the third time, while trading volume continues to expand (30% higher than the previous two times), it is a strong signal for a rebound. The logic behind this is 'the panic selling is nearing its end, and funds are starting to bottom out.' Last June, during the mainstream coin pullback, he accurately bottomed out using this tactic and recovered previous losses in just three days.
RSI Trend Turning Point: He only captures the moment when RSI breaks above 50 from below—this represents a shift in short-term trend from weak to strong, especially when this signal appears after a period of consolidation, indicating strong trend continuation. Last year, during the Ethereum surge from 1800 to 2400, he used this signal to enter the market early and captured most of the increase.
OBV Divergence: When the OBV indicator continues to increase and hits a new high, but the price remains in a horizontal fluctuation, he will take a small position in advance. This is a signal of 'capital secretly accumulating, ready to rise at any time,' which is more advantageous than simply watching price fluctuations.
It must be emphasized here: indicators are not omnipotent, but the combination of 'indicators + time periods' can give beginners more basis for decision-making. One of his most frequently said phrases is 'I would rather miss 10 opportunities than chase 1 risk blindly,' which is also the core reason he transitioned from loss to profit.
Iron rule of taking profits: If you can earn it, you must hold on to it.
Many people do not fail to enter the market, but rather do not know how to take profits; they either run after making a little profit or lose it back on a roller coaster. His method of taking profits is simple yet effective:
In the early stage of a rise, sell half of the position to lock in profits, and let the remaining 50% follow the 'moving stop profit'—set the stop-loss at the lowest point of the last pullback, and as long as the trend does not reverse, never exit. During the market wave last November, he used this strategy to turn 15% profit into 40%, while many others had already exited midway.
Now he occasionally visits the neighborhood where he used to deliver food, not to reminisce about past hardships, but to remind himself: 'In the crypto market, it is not the people without money who get eliminated, but those who lack patience and methods, always wanting to gamble on luck.'
In fact, there are no 'shortcuts' in the market; the so-called 'comebacks' are merely the 'stupid methods' that others find troublesome, honed to perfection.
What 'stupid methods' have you used in trading? Is it sticking to reviewing trades or adhering to a certain indicator? Let's discuss your profit insights in the comments～
If you are still anxious about market fluctuations and confused about finding entry signals, following me is the right choice! I will share exclusive time strategies and indicator linkage techniques every week, and also break down market trends in real time in the fan group, helping you transition from 'following the trend chaotically' to 'making money based on rules.' After all, in the crypto market, reliable methods are more important than anything else~
