"Federal Reserve Governor Milan: The Probability of Rate Cuts in December Still Exists, Calling for Accelerated Easing Measures"
Federal Reserve's new Governor Milan reiterated after the monetary policy meeting on October 30 that, despite Powell sending dovish signals, he still insists that a 50 basis point rate cut should occur in December. His reasoning includes increased trade uncertainty, pressure on the real estate market, and policy risks from delayed employment data. Currently, market expectations for a rate cut in December have dropped from 90% to 68%. Milan emphasized the "urgency of policy," stating that the U.S. economy is facing "new tail risks" and needs aggressive rate cuts to bring real rates back to neutral. His position of voting against twice highlights the internal divisions within the Fed regarding the pace of rate cuts.
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