The Federal Reserve's decision and its impact on the market
The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 0.25% and announced the cessation of balance sheet reduction (QT) effective December 1, 2025.
This move represents a turning point in U.S. monetary policy and a strong signal to begin a phase of quantitative easing that will flood the markets with liquidity.
Analysis of the crypto market's reaction:
Bitcoin's technical movement:
Before the decision: Trading near $111,000
During the press conference: Drop to $109,000 and continued drop to $107824
After the statements: Rebound above $110,000
This response is classic for the "buy the rumor, sell the news" pattern as the drop was priced in beforehand
The rapid drop followed by a rebound indicates:
1. Market strength: Buyers at every dip
2. High liquidity: Large trading volume at support levels
Why is this decision important?
1. End of the quantitative tightening era:
- Stopping QT means halting liquidity withdrawal from the market
- Starting to reinvest bonds = Injecting new liquidity
- This is roughly equivalent to $60-80 billion monthly in additional liquidity
2. Shift in Federal priorities:
From: Fighting inflation
To: Protecting the labor market
3. Future signals:
#Powell: "December cut is not certain"
Any neutral language, but economic data will dictate the course
Probability of a cut in December: 62% according to the markets
#Trading_Strategies:
1. Do not trade the decision directly: wait 24-48 hours for stabilization
2. Focus on the general trend: The upward trend is still intact
3. Risk management: Always use stop-loss
Impact on cryptocurrencies
✅Bitcoin: Strong support at $108K-110K, resistance at $115K-118K
✅Ethereum: Following Bitcoin with potential relative outperformance
✅Alternative currencies: Waiting for a clear signal from Bitcoin
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves high risks.
#الفيدرالي_الامريكي #بيتكوين #العملات_الرقمية #تحليل_فني #الفيدرالي_الامريكي #بيتكوين #العملات_الرقمية #تحليل_فني #تداول_العملات_الرقمية
