Brothers, something big might happen tonight! Just now, there's been explosive news before the market opens: Fed Chairman Powell, after looking at the latest data, is actually considering not only pausing interest rate cuts but might even reverse and raise rates! What's more shocking is that Trump immediately lashed out online, directly stating "absolutely not allowing any rate hikes".
Now, this is something—two big shots are having a spat from afar, directly stirring the market into chaos. Pre-market trading has already become a mess, and everyone is watching the "decisive moment" at 2:30 AM—seeing who the global market will ultimately side with. This is no longer just an issue of rate hikes or cuts; it’s fundamentally a battle for discourse power!
Tonight's main event will surely be the Fed's interest rate decision. Initially, everyone thought a rate cut was a done deal, just guessing how the market would move: would it rise first and then fall, or fall first and then rise?
Now, with this situation, the difficulty of operations has skyrocketed. Looking solely at the technical side, the daily line closed normally, and the indicators are still lying low; I will definitely prioritize shorting.
But the problem is, the rate cut hasn’t been finalized—will it be a cut of 25 basis points or 50? How will it proceed afterward? Every detail could cause the market sentiment to reverse instantly.
Personally, I still trust the signals from the market and am preparing to find opportunities to short. Of course, the market is always changing, and I could be wrong in my judgment. Even if my short positions make money, I will not hesitate to switch to long positions when the time comes; this principle is unshakeable.
To be realistic, the market's expectation for a rate cut has already been raised to 98%, mainly because the inflation and employment data from September are indeed poor, laying enough groundwork for a rate cut.
But the real explosive point is yet to come: there is a significant divergence within the Fed regarding future policies. If old Powell's speech at midnight hints at further rate cuts, the market could explode instantly; if he hints at stopping, the volatility will only become scarier.
Brothers, fasten your seatbelts, pay attention to @Crypto老徐 , tonight is destined to be a sleepless night!