The market is like a storm at sea; every toss of the whales can stir up huge waves—today, this '100% win rate whale' suddenly turned and rushed towards SOL, making me feel like a grand show is about to begin! But don't rush, is SOL really going to soar, or is the whale 'gambling for its life'? Tonight's Federal Reserve interest rate decision could ignite this fire; will it burn the market to the ground? We retail investors need to keep our eyes wide open.
News is coming: Whales are increasing their holdings + favorable news from the Federal Reserve. Should retail investors follow the trend or wait and see today?
The current market sentiment is like a tightly drawn string: a whale bought 17,500 SOL in 7 minutes, and although it currently has an unrealized loss of $1.26 million, this aggressive 'buying the dip' attitude is clearly betting on a rebound for SOL. Additionally, with the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision at 2:00 tonight, if the announced value is lower than expected, a weakening dollar will be favorable for cryptocurrencies. Retail investors have a clear direction today: follow the trend with light positions, but be sure to enter and exit quickly—because whales are not gods, and their unrealized losses serve as a warning!
The funding and technical aspects resonate, but the risks cannot be underestimated.
Whale accumulation is a clear signal of funding, indicating that large holders are optimistic about SOL's short-term rebound; technically, the 1-hour candlestick shows SOL fluctuating in the $195-$198 range, with the Bollinger Bands narrowing, indicating a change is imminent. But the key is, if the Federal Reserve's decision turns 'hawkish', SOL could crash instantly. So the logic is: good news prevails, but must include stop losses—retail investors should not be greedy; taking profits is the way to go.
Short-term trading strategy: ambush at support levels, take profit at resistance levels.
Support level $190: This is the recent low point; if SOL retraces and holds above this, you can open a light long position and set a stop loss.
Resistance level $205: The candlestick has been blocked here multiple times; after breaking through, you can chase the rise, targeting $210. If it surges and then falls back, be sure to close the position quickly.
The watershed at $198: The current price is around $197; holding above $198 is considered strong, while dropping below $195 indicates a shift to bearish.
Survival tips: Before tonight's event, do not let your position exceed 20% of your capital; use limit orders more often and avoid high leverage—whale's unrealized losses of $1.26 million are a bloody lesson!
My view is straightforward—SOL may surge tonight, but the whale's unrealized losses remind us: the market does not have a 100% win rate.
If retail investors want to thrive, they must be patient like hunters: take a bite when good news comes, and slip away when the wind changes. If you're afraid of falling into a pit, remember to follow Xuanji; I will share real-time strategies daily in [Xuanji Village] to help you gain a foothold in the crypto market!