$LUNC – BEWARE THE SHADOW PUPPET
(BEARISH BIAS UNTIL STRUCTURE BREAKS)
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & TRADING PLAN
🧮 CHART OBSERVATIONS
Price is respecting a long descending trendline / resistance zone, repeatedly failing to close above it.
Recent candles show rejection wicks at resistance, indicating seller dominance.
Support area lies at a horizontal zone (base of recent consolidation) — acting as potential sink for breakdown.
Momentum oscillators (RSI / MACD) show weakening bullish strength; any bounce lacks conviction.
Volume tends to thin on rallies, thickens on any downside – confirming distribution.
🎯 TRADE SETUPS
1) SHORT Entry (preferable)
Entry: after break and close below support zone (or after a clear retest of broken support as new resistance)
Target 1 (TP1): next support / demand area down
Target 2 (TP2): major lower structural zone
Stop‑Loss: just above recent swing high or retest high
2) LONG Entry (countertrend / swing) – higher risk
Entry: only if price breaks and closes convincingly above descending resistance + retests it as support
Target 1 (TP1): next resistance above
Target 2 (TP2): major resistance level above
Stop‑Loss: below breakout retest low
📊 RISK MANAGEMENT
Risk ≤ 1 %–2 % of total trading capital per trade
Use position sizing to align with SL distance
Do not average into losing trades
If structure breaks (i.e. trendline invalidated or support broken strongly), reassess bias
#Technical #Trendlines #SupportResistanceZones #Momentum #Volume $LUNC $LUCE