The market is buzzing, and forecasts are getting louder that Bitcoin (BTC) is preparing for a new historical surge.
Many analysts point to the target of $150,000 as a possible peak of the current cycle — but what lies behind these expectations?
💡 Why $150,000 is not fantasy
🔹 Halving effect: historically, the market peak occurs about ~500 days after the halving. The last one was in April 2024 — which means a key moment could come at the end of 2025.
🔹 Supply shortage: most coins are held by long-term holders. There is little liquidity in the market — this pushes the price up.
🔹 Institutional money: the launch of ETFs and interest from large funds create a new influx of capital into crypto.
🔹 On-chain metrics: indicators like MVRV and Z-Score are still far from overheating — growth potential remains.
⚠️ Risks ahead
📉 Possible corrections of 20–30%
⚖️ Pressure from regulators and macroeconomics
💥 Market emotions — greed and panic continue to drive the price
Bitcoin may reach $150,000, but it will not be a straight road; it will be a rollercoaster.
🔮 Supercycle or just a new peak?
If the influx of institutional money continues, and BTC firmly establishes itself as 'digital gold', we are not just waiting for another cycle, but the beginning of a long-term supercycle where growth will be smoother but more sustainable.
💬 Everything indicates that Bitcoin is entering a new phase. The question is not 'if', but 'when' we will see $150,000.