๐ September 17, 2:00 p.m. EST (20:00 CET) โ The U.S. Federal Reserve will announce its latest interest rate decision today, and markets are bracing for what is widely expected to be the first rate cut of 2025.
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๐ Market Expectations
96% probability: 0.25% cut
4% probability: 0.50% cut
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โ๏ธ The Backdrop
Jobs: Employment growth has slowed, strengthening the case for easing.
Inflation: Price pressures remain sticky, partly due to new tariffs under President Trump, which limit the Fedโs room to cut aggressively.
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๐๏ธ Politics at Play
Trump: Pushing for faster, deeper cuts.
Powell: Stresses decisions will remain data-driven, not political.
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๐ฎ Whatโs Next?
Markets arenโt just focused on todayโs move โ the real question is how Fed Chair Jerome Powell signals the path for October and December meetings.
Expect strong market reactions across:
Stocks
Bonds
Gold
Crypto
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๐ Key Takeaways
โ High chance of a 0.25% cut today
โ Only 4% chance of a 0.50% cut
๐ฅ Fed caught between weak jobs and sticky inflation
๐ Todayโs decision will set the tone for global markets through year-end
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#Fed #RateCuts #Markets #Crypto #Gold
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