CryptoCommunity

Congrats to user ID 72****20, who with a time of 48.96 seconds looks like the virtual winner of the 10 ETH.

That record was achieved almost a month ago, when there were about 160,000 players.
Today we are already more than 719,000 participants.
Why?
Probability Analysis of the Binance Button Game
Context:
The current record of 48.96 seconds was achieved by user ID 72****20 nearly one month ago, when the game had approximately 160,000 participants. As of today, there are more than 719,000 registered players.
Statistical Framework:
To estimate the likelihood of the timer reaching 60 seconds, we apply a Poisson distribution model, assuming an average click rate (λ) between 0.3 and 0.5 clicks per second. This assumption is consistent with empirical observations, where the timer rarely decreases more than 2–3 seconds before being reset.
Calculations:
The probability of no clicks for t seconds is:
P(t) = e^{-\lambda t}
For t = 11s with λ = 0.3 → P ≈ 0.036 (0.36%).
For t = 60s with λ = 0.3 → P ≈ 0.000000015 (≈ 1 in 66 million).
For λ = 0.5, the probability becomes even smaller: ~1 in 2.7 trillion.
Conclusion:
From a probabilistic standpoint, achieving a full 60-second countdown under current participation levels is effectively impossible. The present record of 48.96s is statistically likely to remain unbeaten, making ID 72****20 the virtual winner.

😈 But if you’ve read this far, congrats: you’re part of the 1% that doesn’t give up easily.
Copy & share if you want… maybe we can get a few to lose patience and leave us more room to play.
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