bitcoinwarnings

🔻 What happened: drop to the level of US$ 86,000 and immediate effects

According to public data, Bitcoin has fallen in the last 24 hours between a
5 % and 6 %
, dropping from around US$ 91,000–92,000 to below US$ 86,000.
This drop dragged down the crypto market in general: other major coins also recorded losses, and many stocks linked to crypto/technology are retreating.

The decline has reduced the total market capitalization by tens (or even hundreds) of billions of dollars: some reports mention global losses of up to ~US$ 140 billion.

Crypto Twitter declared October 6th as the cycle peak. They called for an 84% crash, a confirmed bear market, and the end of the run. But the actual data tells a completely different story.

Every major indicator that accurately signaled the tops in 2013, 2017, and 2021 is silent today.

Pi Cycle Top: No trigger
MVRV Z-Score: 1.07, one of the most oversold readings ever
Puell Multiple: Still below 1, suggesting undervaluation

The truth is simple: the moment $63 billion in ETF inflows absorbed whale selling without breaking market structure, the old retail-driven cycle ended. The classic pattern of halving, retail mania, high leverage, and 80 percent crashes no longer defines Bitcoin.

We have shifted into an institutional regime.

Halving remains important, but volatility is dampened. Corrections are 20 to 30 percent, not catastrophic collapses. Even in November, when ETF outflows reached a record 3.79 billion dollars, the structural bid stayed intact. BlackRock continues to hold 777,000 BTC. Fidelity added another 170 million dollars on November 25th. Institutions never stepped away.

Historically, halving peaks occur 12 to 18 months after the event. We are now 19 months in, and the window for a macro top is still open.

Two conditions would confirm a real cycle peak:

1. Sustained ETF outflows exceeding 2 billion dollars weekly for at least four weeks

2. Bitcoin falling below 80,000 dollars by Q1 2026

Neither condition is present.

The 4-year cycle is dead only as a retail phenomenon. It has evolved into an institutional accumulation framework.

Calling for a bear market at 91,000 dollars assumes either a collapse in conviction or a failure in the system itself. Neither has occurred.

Bitcoin’s structure remains intact, and the new era is unfolding in real time.

#bitcoin #CryptoUpdate #MarketNews #BTCInsights #BitcoinWarnings

Bitcoin News Today: BlackRock Bitcoin ETF Investors Return to Profit as BTC Reclaims $90K Amid Surging Rate-Cut Odds
The short impact of the news is:
BlackRock Bitcoin ETF Investors: The price surge to $90,000+ means that many investors in the BlackRock spot Bitcoin ETF (like IBIT) have returned to profit (are no longer "underwater").Bitcoin Price (BTC): BTC reclaiming the $90,000 level is a bullish signal, indicating renewed strength and positive momentum in the market.Macro Factor: The rise is largely attributed to surging odds of a Federal Reserve rate cut, which typically leads investors to favor riskier assets like Bitcoin over traditional low-yield instruments. This shows the increasing link between Bitcoin and global macroeconomic policy.
In essence, rising rate-cut hopes boosted Bitcoin past $90K, pushing BlackRock ETF investors back into profit.
#BitcoinWarnings #BlackRock⁩ $BTC

The Guy Who Forgot His Bitcoin Investment – A Million-Dollar Mistake

Imagine waking up one day to realize that you had once invested in Bitcoin, only to forget about it—only now, it’s worth millions of dollars, but you can’t access it. Sounds like a nightmare, right? Well, for several individuals, this nightmare is a reality.

The Story of James Howells – The $500 Million Hard Drive

Back in 2013, James Howells, a British IT worker, accidentally threw away an old hard drive that contained the private keys to 8,000 BTC. At the time, Bitcoin wasn’t worth nearly as much as it is today, and Howells didn’t think much of it.

Fast forward to 2024, and those 8,000 Bitcoin are now worth over $500 million. Desperate to recover his lost fortune, Howells has spent years trying to gain permission to search a landfill in Newport, Wales, where he believes the hard drive is buried. Despite offering the local council a percentage of the recovered funds, authorities have refused to grant him access due to environmental concerns.

Stefan Thomas – The Forgotten Password Worth $250 Million

Another tragic case is that of Stefan Thomas, a German-born programmer living in the U.S. Thomas stored 7,002 Bitcoin in an encrypted digital wallet. Unfortunately, he wrote down the password on a piece of paper—one that he later lost.

The kicker? The wallet only allows 10 attempts before permanently locking itself. After eight failed attempts, Thomas now has just two chances left to guess the right password before the Bitcoin is lost forever.

How Many Bitcoins Are Lost Forever?

According to estimates, around 20% of all Bitcoin (worth hundreds of billions of dollars) may be lost due to forgotten passwords, lost devices, or misplaced paper wallets. Unlike banks, Bitcoin wallets don’t have a “forgot password” option, meaning once access is lost, there’s no way to recover the funds.

Lessons from These Costly Mistakes
1. Always back up your private keys – Store them in multiple secure locations.
2. Use a hardware wallet – This prevents online hacks and ensures you have full control.
3. Don’t underestimate crypto’s future value – What seems like a small investment today could be worth a fortune later.

Final Thoughts

The stories of Howells, Thomas, and countless others serve as a cautionary tale in the world of cryptocurrency. In an era where digital assets are becoming more valuable, proper security and record-keeping are just as important as the investment itself.

Would you go digging in a landfill for half a billion dollars? Let us know your thoughts!
#Bitcoin #bitcoinlost #BTCvsInflation #BitcoinWarnings $BTC
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