比特币

$ETH $BTC $币安人生
📉 The culprit behind the big drop has been found: global tightening, and the crypto market collapses first!

This time's plunge originates from Japan! 🇯🇵 Its national bond yields soared, directly triggering a chain reaction of global "arbitrage trading" (Carry Trade) liquidations. In simple terms, international capital previously borrowed cheap yen to speculate on cryptocurrencies, but now that Japanese interest rates have risen, everyone can only frantically sell Bitcoin and other assets to repay debts, forming the first wave of heavy impact. 💥

Meanwhile, the market's "lifeline" has also been cut off. The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations have rapidly cooled, plummeting from 97% to around 55%. The U.S. economic data is too strong, and Fed officials are frequently "hawkish," shattering the illusion of liquidity easing, and risk assets are collectively suffering.

Bitcoin, as the most sensitive "risk pioneer" to global capital, is the first to bear the brunt under leverage, and its decline has been dramatically amplified. This storm once again confirms: the crypto market is already a part of global finance; when traditional markets sneeze, cryptocurrencies catch a severe cold. 🤒

Is this a good opportunity to buy the dip, or is the cold winter starting? Do you think Bitcoin can break free from the role of a "macro puppet"? Waiting for you in the comments! 👇
#ETH巨鲸增持 #比特币

【December 1 Market News and Data Analysis】
1、#美联储 will officially end quantitative tightening today;
2、In November, the spot trading volume of cryptocurrency exchanges dropped to $1.59 trillion, the lowest level since June;
3、In November 2025, the return rate of #比特币 was -17.67%, marking the second lowest record so far;
4、This week's important events and data forecast: #鲍威尔 speech, U.S. PCE and #小非农 .

The Federal Reserve officially stopped QT on December 1, ending the process of reducing its balance sheet by more than $2 trillion since June 2022. This policy shift means that pressure on U.S. dollar liquidity will ease, and long-term interest rates are expected to decline, potentially providing support for high-risk assets. Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market showed significant contraction in November—total spot trading volume dropped to $1.59 trillion, a month-on-month decrease of 26.7%, marking a new low since June; DEX trading volume also fell to $397.78 billion, again the lowest level since June.
From the asset performance perspective, #BTC recorded a return rate of approximately -17.67% in November, becoming its second-worst November performance in history; Ethereum's return rate during the same period was -22.38%, also marking the second lowest record in history. This trend sharply contrasts with historical patterns: in the past, the average return of Bitcoin in November was +41.12%, with a median of +8.81%. The contraction of liquidity and the decline in trading activity have amplified market volatility, while the end of the Fed's QT may bring a structural turning point to the crypto market—if the liquidity environment gradually improves, core crypto assets like Bitcoin are expected to benefit first in valuation recovery.

Family members, please pay attention! The Federal Reserve will announce the end of QT quantitative tightening tomorrow. Once this news comes out, the cryptocurrency market will be lively.

Recently, from the end of November to the beginning of December, favorable market news has been coming one after another. BTC and ETH have been continuously rebounding. Next Monday, the Federal Reserve will completely stop the quantitative tightening that has lasted for 3 years, which will definitely be one of the driving forces behind this rebound.

However, I must remind everyone that although there is a lot of positive news, we also need to be cautious about the situation where good news turns into bad news. This point is worth noting. However, before the interest rate cut on December 10, I believe that the overall trend of the cryptocurrency market should still remain strong. For short-term operations, consider buying on dips.

Let's talk about support levels. Ethereum is around 2930, Bitcoin has a major support at 89,000 and a minor support at 90,000. As I mentioned yesterday, Bitcoin just dropped to 90,000 and started to rebound. Those who missed this wave shouldn’t rush; let’s see if there are opportunities to open positions again in the next few days.

This rebound induced by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut may last for about 2 to 3 weeks, which is a B-wave rebound. This could be the last chance to escape the peak, after all, the overall trend of the bear market has not changed. According to the Elliott Wave theory, Bitcoin dropped from 120,000 to 80,000 in the A-wave, and now we are in the B-wave rebound, theoretically rebounding to 97,000 to 98,000. After that, there will be a C-wave decline with a target of about 50,000 to 60,000. I have been discussing this model since September.

I believe that after the C-wave decline, it will be the best entry point. The profits in a bull market are all derived from the declines in a bear market. By then, we might see Solana at 80 or even 50, and 1500 for ETH. Recently, I plan to position myself in a potential coin that is very likely to surge strongly, expecting a 10x increase without a problem. Friends who want to seize this big opportunity, please follow @crypto星辰 , 进聊天室 and share directly. #加密市场反弹 #比特币 #美联储重启降息步伐

#比特币 There is almost always a significant increase in December, but it may not last until the end of the month. The current price is over 80,000, about 40% away from the historical high. ➕

Historically, December has also seen increases of +46.9% (2020) and +38.9% (2017).

So, reaching a new high in December is not impossible, but the probability suggests that the chances are somewhat low.

📉 Is Bitcoin about to replay history? The trend in 2025 surprisingly synchronizes with the bottom of the bear market in 2022! Can you believe it?
你怎么看？
According to Cointelegraph, the current BTC market is highly similar to the bottom of the bear market in 2022, with a correlation close to 💯! Network economist Timothy Peterson pointed out that this year the daily correlation of BTC reached 80%, and the monthly correlation skyrocketed to 98%, with the trend almost 'copy-pasted' 😱.

Interestingly, November has always been one of the worst-performing months for BTC, and Peterson stated that its performance ranks in the bottom 10% since 2015 📉. Historical data also shows that if November 'turns red', December often cannot escape the fate of a decline...

But don't be too pessimistic! 🎄 The 'Christmas rally' may be on the way~ Macro sentiment is quietly changing, and institutional funds are beginning to flow back. Since November 2024, stock funds have attracted $900 billion in new funds, while the Bitcoin ETF saw an inflow of $220 billion in just the week of Thanksgiving, and the Ethereum ETF also had $31.2 billion entering 🚀. This wave of institutional selling may truly be coming to an end?

What do you think? Is the bear market still ongoing, or is this the last dip before the bull market? Come to the comments section to share your views! 👇

#比特币 #加密市场反弹 #加密货币 #行情分析 $ETH

$Binance Life

$ASTER

On the afternoon of the 12th, suggestions and direction for Bitcoin and Ethereum trading
During the noon, we suggested entering the market around the Bitcoin level of 86300, and advised exiting when it fell to around 85600, achieving a small profit successfully. From the current structure, viewing from the 1-hour level, the Bollinger Bands are continuously opening downwards, with the middle and upper bands declining. The short-term bearish trend is dominating, and the support strength at 85500 needs to be verified. K-line and trading volume: during the downward phase, large bearish candles are predominant, while during the rebound phase, small bullish candles and doji candles alternate, with slight bearish dominance amidst mixed market sentiment, and trading volume has not significantly increased. The short-term rebound momentum is insufficient, and the weak dominant pattern is expected to continue into the afternoon, therefore the afternoon suggestion remains primarily focused on rebound trading.
In the afternoon, Bitcoin can be shorted around 86000 to 86500, with a focus on 85000.
Ethereum can be shorted around 2850 to 2820, with a focus on 2750$BTC $ETH #比特币 .

Asian early session liquidated 500 million dollars! Bulls bleed profusely! On Monday, the Asian market experienced a sudden drop, with Bitcoin falling over 5% to around $86,000, and Ethereum plummeting over 6% to $2,815, leading to a total market forced liquidation of $646 million, with nearly 90% of the liquidations being long positions! The three major platforms each had liquidations exceeding $160 million, with the largest single order of $14.48 million ETH futures going to zero directly. SOL, XRP, BNB, and DOGE all dropped by 4%-7%, with Cardano and others faring worse. High-leverage longs concentrated their positions above $90K, and after the funding rate turned positive, they encountered a sudden drop in liquidity, triggering a chain liquidation, causing prices to crash below the November low within hours. Currently, the open interest continues to decline, leverage has significantly decreased, and positions have clearly lightened. However, short-term risk appetite remains weak, and before liquidity returns to the U.S. market, volatility may persist. The classic 'high leverage → crash liquidation → deleveraging' script is playing out again. Surviving this round of washing usually leads to a cleaner situation afterwards. Have you been liquidated?
#BTC #比特币 #ETH #以太坊

$BTC $ETH $DOGE 🔥 Super Bull Market Eve! Three Major Nuclear Signals Detonate!

🚨 Sudden Riot: Powell's Resignation Confirmed! Trump states "It was time to replace him", easing bank crypto restrictions before resignation triggers market explosion—USD plummets, BTC skyrockets from 81000 to 91000, retail investors miss the night!

🤯 Three Key Questions:
➤ Resigning at year-end when liquidity is tight, what big move is hidden?
➤ Emergency meeting at 7 PM tonight: Interest rate cut announcement or policy shift?
➤ Is the successor a "dove"? Directly doubling or halving the coin price!

🔥 Core Highlighted Points (Highlighted in Red Must See):

1. December interest rate cut probability 86.9% 📈! Goldman Sachs predicts three cuts within the year, and two more in 2026, liquidity tsunami is locked in!

2. Big Whales Hoarding + Exchange Shortages 🐋! BlackRock frantically buying crypto, ETH ETF has a net inflow of 68.26 million in a single day, institutional accumulation ignites Q4 surge!

3. Epic ETH Upgrade ⚡! Gas limit skyrockets 3 times (15 million → 60 million), historically explosive after each upgrade, surged from $1300 to $4956 by May 2025!

💸 Liquidity Frenzy Approaches:
✅ Stopping QT + Accelerating Rate Cuts, Fed leadership change leans more dovish, USD depreciation benefits crypto!
✅ SLR Reform Restart + QE may return, massive funds will flood the market!

🎯 Layout = Lying Win:
· DOGE ETF Launch, community aims for a $7.2 target!
· Swiss Bank 24/7 crypto settlement launched, compliance speeds up again!
· "1011 Bloodbath" is a trap, halving bull market has never been absent!

💥 Ultimate Conclusion:
2026-2027 will be the crazy year of liquidity overflow! Get on board now, you're standing at the starting line of the super bull market; if missed, wait another four years!

#加密货币 #比特币 #以太坊 #美联储降息！泼天的富贵，走势兑现，消息面相对滞后，结构面永远领先消息面~ #投资机遇与风险

In the blink of an eye, the weekend has passed. This week's market situation is nearing its end. Looking back at this week's big pie market situation, at the beginning of the week, it dropped from the 86600 line to around the 85220 line before stopping the decline, starting to rise slowly. The highest point also reached the 93000 line on Friday, with an increase of nearly 8000 points in the range. After several weeks of weak performance, this week saw a slight upward stretch and recovery from the bulls. Overall, this week experienced a strengthening from the bears, and the second pie followed the trend of the big pie market. From the beginning of the week at the 2876 line, it slowly rose to a high point of 3099, currently operating at 2990, with an increase of nearly 324 points in the range. This week, Old Zhao also gained a lot in the orange market, with a total of 10 long and short positions in the big pie, capturing more than 11288 points in space. The second pie also synchronized with the orange market, capturing another 530 points in space.
I am Old Zhao, a practitioner focused on the study of K-line patterns and indicator resonance, sharing skills on volume-price relationships and trend reversal judgment techniques daily.
If you encounter: unclear trend judgments, inaccurate timing in entering and exiting positions, or the need to optimize position management strategies, we can communicate and exchange ideas together. I believe it will be helpful to you.

$BTC $ETH #比特币 #以太坊

【December 1 Market Information and Data Analysis】
#美联储 will officially end quantitative tightening today;
In November, the spot trading volume of cryptocurrency exchanges dropped to $1.59 trillion, the lowest level since June;
In November 2025, #比特币 reported a return rate of -17.67%, marking the second lowest record to date;
Important events and data forecasts for this week: #鲍威尔 speech, U.S. PCE and #小非农 .
The Federal Reserve officially stopped QT on December 1, ending the process of reducing over $2 trillion in assets on the balance sheet since June 2022. This policy shift means that the liquidity pressure on the dollar will ease, and long-term interest rates are expected to decline, potentially providing support for high-risk assets. Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market showed significant contraction in November - the total spot trading volume dropped to $1.59 trillion, a month-on-month decrease of 26.7%, setting a new low since June; DEX trading volume also fell to $397.8 billion, which is the lowest level since June.
From asset performance, #BTC recorded an approximate -17.67% return rate in November, becoming its second worst November performance in history; Ethereum's return rate during the same period was -22.38%, also setting a historical second low record. This trend sharply contrasts with historical patterns: over the past 11 Novembers, Bitcoin's average return was +41.12%, with a median of +8.81%. The combination of liquidity contraction and decreased trading activity has amplified market volatility, while the end of the Federal Reserve's QT may bring a structural turning point for the crypto market - if the liquidity environment gradually improves, core crypto assets like Bitcoin are expected to benefit first from valuation recovery.

#比特币 Will it return to 50k??🧐

Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone recently stated that the overall sentiment in the US stock market has become 'outrageously complacent,' which often means that risk assets may continue to fall, and BTC is likely to lead the decline.

$BTC may take the lead in falling.

The price difference between BTC and gold is currently about 20 times, but according to the model, it should only be around 13 times.

He believes that $BTC has risen a bit too much.

Recently, the volatility of the S&P 500 is low, approaching the lowest year-end level since 2017.

The market is too calm and too optimistic, which usually leads to a return to normal.

So McGlone's conclusion is that if it returns to a reasonable range according to the model, BTC could potentially return to around 50,000 dollars.

On the evening of January 12, operation suggestions and direction sharing for Bitcoin and Ethereum.
From the current market view, Bitcoin's daily line is blocked at the middle track, after the previous K line closed with a small upper shadow, the intraday opening plunged, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, short-term moving averages have turned, the MACD fast and slow lines have crossed upwards but show signs of turning and the volume bars have decreased. The KDJ has a dead cross downwards, and the VR index is consolidating around the value of 50. On the four-hour chart, after high-level fluctuations over the weekend, the real body bearish candle has broken the lower track and the 60-day moving average, and is currently running below the lower track, the Bollinger Bands are opening, the short-term moving averages are downward, the MACD fast and slow lines have broken below the 0 axis and the volume bars have increased, the KDJ has a dead cross downwards, focusing on support near the 0 value, the VR index is consolidating around the value of 110, and the overall market is continuing the downward channel after a rebound that was blocked at the middle track, with a focus on short-term rebound shorts. If the support at 85200 is broken or tested, it may drop to 83000. The daily and four-hour trends for Ethereum are consistent with Bitcoin, with short-term support above 2780, and if broken or tested, it may fall to 2680.
In the evening, Bitcoin can be traded around 86600—87100, focusing on 85500.
Ethereum can be traded around 2830 to 2870, focusing on 2750$BTC $ETH #比特币 #以太坊 .

回顾午夜大饼及以太的走势情况，凌晨大饼整体围绕90800~91800区间上下浮动，以太同步大饼震荡走法，整体围绕3013~3048区间来回震荡。

从当前盘面来看，短线已进入横盘整理阶段，尽管日线级别仍存在一定的调整需求，但均线系统维持多头排列，整体动能支撑依旧强劲。因此，核心思路仍应坚持顺势做多，博弈单边趋势的延续。

大饼早间可在90500-90000多，目标92500附近，以太可在2980-2950多，目标3100附近。#比特币

🚀【The Fryer Is Exploding! Multiple Positive News Explodes Together, Is the Bull Really Coming?】🚀

Family, I can't sleep tonight! The market suddenly burst with several heavyweight news, and it feels like something big is really coming!

📈 Three Major Benefits Exploding at the Same Time:

1️⃣ The Federal Reserve is about to take action
The probability of a rate cut in December has surged to 86%!
BlackRock and these big institutions are already positioning themselves in advance
Just waiting for the faucet to open, and funds will rush in

2️⃣ Ethereum is about to upgrade again
The Fusaka upgrade is scheduled for December 4th
Every time there is an upgrade, the market performs well
This time it feels like something is going to happen again

3️⃣ The Bitcoin halving effect is starting to show
New coins are getting harder to mine
Historically, within six months after each halving
You know what I mean...

💡 My Real Feelings:
To be honest, several seasoned investors around me are secretly increasing their positions
Although they are shouting fearfully
Their bodies are very honest
I haven't seen this kind of atmosphere since 2020

⚠️ A Few Reminders:
Don't be fooled by the current excitement
If you need to cut losses, make sure to cut losses
Never go all in
Living long is the real skill

👇 Friends, come and chat:
→ Did you get on this wave?
→ Do you think it can break the previous high?
→ What percentage is your position now?

Waiting for you in the comments!
Share to remind your brothers, don't miss this wave!

#比特币 #以太坊
$BTC $ETH $DOGE

---

Investing involves risks, and you need to be cautious when entering the market. Don't bet all your assets.

This week's shipping trend shows that the price ratio performance meets expectations, presenting a ladder-like upward trend, steadily expanding upward space. At the beginning of last week, the price ratio briefly surged to 89000 before entering a phase of consolidation, which is entirely consistent with our thinking. From Wednesday to Thursday, the price ratio rebounded to around 92000, experiencing narrow fluctuations. Fortunately, the strong support below gradually built a stabilizing pattern. Currently, on the daily chart, it is also in a doji star horizontal consolidation. After reaching a high of 93000, the market entered a weekend adjustment period, and the price ratio oscillated and consolidated within the 90000-91000 range as expected. This week, looking at our live trading layout, both long and short positions have achieved good returns, and precise entry points can be taken for short-term trading.

The monthly chart for Bitcoin shows a weak downward trend with two consecutive bearish candles, highlighting the strength of the bearish market. The price continues to break through the lower resistance, creating a sharp trend of probing higher and then retreating, not only refreshing the previous low but also dropping to a bottom this week. Observing from the monthly chart pattern, the overall structure shows a weak downward trend. According to the analysis of the previous upward structure, the current price ratio still possesses the momentum to break upward after consolidation. However, the current pattern is in a recovery and consolidation phase, with a longer shadow on the monthly chart, indicating that this round of deep adjustment further solidifies the support position below. From the weekly perspective, after continuous bearish candles testing new lows, the shipping trend shows signs of stabilization. The low points of the pullback have not broken below the previous low, and then it stabilized and rebounded again. The overall pattern continues to maintain an upward rhythm amid the transition between long and short positions, currently forming a bullish candle, stabilizing above the 90000 watershed line. It is estimated that there will also be signs of horizontal consolidation next week, while the continuous testing of high-pressure levels is enough to indicate that strong support below drives the rebound momentum. Therefore, next week, we are more inclined to see an upward trend after consolidation.

Bitcoin 88000-87000 long, looking at around 95000. Ethereum can go long at 2900-2800, looking at around 3300. #比特币

On January 12th, afternoon Bitcoin and Ethereum operation suggestions and directional sharing
Reviewing the morning market, after we provided a bullish perspective in the early hours, the morning market experienced a quick pullback from around the 91500 level, breaking below the support down to around 869700, where it stopped falling. Currently, it is stabilizing around the 87400 level, oscillating up and down. The range has seen a decline of nearly 4500 points, with reckless market manipulation causing early long positions to hit stop-loss points. Regrettably, after the stop-loss, we observed the market with strong momentum, and we re-entered around the 89500 level. The aunt entered short around 2950, once again capturing a space of 2100/109 points, turning losses into profits and recovering losses.
From the current market, it can be seen that the market has broken through the critical resistance level of the lower Bollinger Band and the three lines of the Bollinger Band continue to decline. Currently, all indicators and various signals are leaning towards a bullish perspective. It is worth noting that the current KDJ and RSI are both in the oversold area, indicating that there will be a wave of rebound soon. The probability of a technical adjustment is very high, and the overall situation has shifted towards a bullish momentum-dominated pattern. Therefore, our afternoon operation suggestion is to follow the trend and make a move before a clear rebound trend appears.
In the afternoon, Bitcoin can be shorted near 87000 to 86500, paying attention to 85000,
Ethereum can be shorted near 2860 to 2830, paying attention to 2750

#比特币 #以太坊 $BTC $ETH

Asia Morning Post: Japan's yield hits a 17-year high, yen strength drags down risk assets! The yield on Japan's 2-year government bonds surged to 1.01%, the highest since 2008, as the market bets on the Bank of Japan ending ultra-low interest rates before the end of the year. The yen's rapid appreciation triggered a wave of unwinding in 'yen carry trades,' leading to a sudden tightening of liquidity in Asia's early trading session. Bitcoin was hit first, plunging from above 90K to below $87,500, triggering over $150 million in long liquidations; Ethereum also dipped to $2,850, with $140 million in long liquidations. The entire crypto market followed the Asia-Pacific stock markets in a broad decline, with the Nikkei 225 index dropping 1.3% in early trading. Gold remained relatively resilient, with a recent Goldman Sachs survey showing that nearly 70% of institutions expect gold prices to break $5,000 by 2026. The short-term focus is entirely on the yen and the Bank of Japan's statements; if tightening expectations continue to rise, risk assets may still face further turbulence. What is your take on this wave of 'yen inflow' impact?
#BTC #比特币

📊 Market Overview | Clear Market Divergence, BTC Leads the Rebound
According to the latest data, the market has ended its broad decline and shows signs of divergence, with mainstream coins stabilizing:
【Overall Market Observation】
Mixed Performance: Out of 10 coins, 4 are up and 6 are down, market sentiment has warmed slightly
Mainstream Coins Stabilizing: BTC and ETH lead the rebound, showing strong resilience
Altcoin Divergence: AT surges +5.96%, while DATA plummets -10.57%
【Key Coin Analysis】
$BTC $91,245: Up +0.74%, back above $91,000, leading the market
$ETH $3,009: Slightly up +0.18%, back above the psychological level of $3,000
$BNB $877.56: Only down -0.33%, performing relatively steadily among platform coins
#AT $0.2257: Surges +5.96%, becoming today's highlight
#DATA $0.00702: Plummets -10.57%, with continuous capital outflow
【Market In-Depth Interpretation】
BTC Stabilizes and Rebounds: Bitcoin is once again leading the market, with effective support at $91,000
Selective Capital Inflow: Funds are flowing from weak altcoins to mainstream coins and some strong varieties
Sentiment Gradually Recovers: Mainstream coins stop declining and rebound, easing market panic
【Operational Strategy Suggestions】
✅ Focus on mainstream coins such as BTC and ETH that have stabilized first
⚠️ Avoid weak altcoins that continue to break down (like DATA)
🔍 Consider paying attention to strong varieties that have attracted capital (like AT)
💡 Position control remains cautious, waiting for the market to clarify direction further
#加密货币 #比特币 #大盘分析