This chart illustrates the price trajectory of $BTC following each of the four halving events (2012, 2016, 2020, and 2024). A recurring pattern can be observed across all cycles:
- A major rally and peak typically occur 400–500 days post-halving.
- Each successive cycle has shown a diminishing relative amplitude compared to the previous one.
Current Positioning and Historical Comparison
As of now - approximately 395 days after the 2024 halving - BTC is trading around $107K. For context, at the same stage in previous cycles:
- 2012 cycle: ~$750–1000 (with a peak around ~$3.7K)
- 2016 cycle: ~$6–8K (peak around ~$20K)
- 2020 cycle: ~$45–55K (peak at ~$69K)
When comparing these trajectories, it's clear the current cycle is progressing at a slower pace than 2016 and 2020, and shows significantly lower amplitude than earlier cycles. This aligns with the broader trend of cycle compression and diminishing returns, driven by Bitcoin's growing market cap and increasing market maturity.
BTC Price Outlook for 2025
Given historical patterns and the deceleration in growth, Bitcoin is likely to reach its cycle peak within the next 200–400 days.
If we assume a continued 50–60% decline in cycle-over-cycle ROI (relative to prior peaks), the projected peak range for $BTC this cycle falls between $180K and $250K.
Conclusion: A conservative and realistic forecast for Bitcoin’s price by the end of 2025 is around $200K.
*data: @Alphractal
ETH Faces Sharp Drop After $142M Futures Liquidation, ETF Inflows Signal Ongoing Institutional Demand
Ethereum is currently trading at $2,486.19 on Binance, with a 24-hour opening price of $2,557.30 and a price change of -2.78%. Trading volume remains robust, and the market cap is stable near $300 billion, with a circulating supply of approximately 120.72 million ETH.
The recent price decline is primarily attributed to heightened market volatility following the U.S. announcement of a 50% tariff on imports from the European Union, which triggered $142 million in Ethereum futures liquidations within 24 hours. Additional contributing factors include a significant transfer of 100,000 ETH to Kraken, suggesting potential increased selling pressure, and profit-taking by long-term holders as ETH approached major resistance at $2,800. Despite these pressures, net inflows into spot Ethereum ETFs, including a $52.84 million inflow into BlackRock’s ETF, indicate continued institutional interest. Ethereum’s upcoming "Pectra" upgrade and overall strong trading activity support a generally bullish longer-term outlook, though short-term volatility remains elevated due to recent macroeconomic developments and large on-chain transactions.
Robert Kiyosaki, the author of Rich Dad Poor Dad, has consistently advocated for investing in $BTC , gold, and silver as safeguards against economic instability. In a recent post on X (formerly Twitter), he emphasized the importance of these assets in the face of a potential global financial crisis, suggesting that individuals should take proactive steps to protect their wealth.
Kiyosaki's endorsement of Bitcoin is rooted in its decentralized nature and limited supply, which he believes make it a more reliable store of value compared to fiat currencies. He has previously stated that saving in fiat currency leads to financial decline, whereas investing in Bitcoin has contributed to his wealth accumulation.
#BinancelaunchpoolHuma #BinanceAlphaAlert #BTC
Market expert SIR CHARTIST has projected that MicroStrategy's (NASDAQ: MSTR) stock could experience a significant decline to $350 before potentially rallying to $700. This analysis suggests a volatile trajectory for the stock, reflecting both substantial downside risk and the possibility of a strong rebound.
As of the latest trading session, MSTR is priced at $369.51, marking a decrease of 7.54% from the previous close. The stock's performance is closely tied to Bitcoin's price movements, given MicroStrategy's extensive Bitcoin holdings. The company's strategy involves using various financial instruments, including convertible debt and preferred stock offerings, to acquire more Bitcoin, amplifying both potential returns and risks.
Investors should be aware that while MSTR offers leveraged exposure to Bitcoin, it also carries heightened risk due to its debt obligations and the volatility of the cryptocurrency market. The company's substantial Bitcoin holdings, which have appreciated significantly, provide some cushion against market downturns. However, a significant decline in Bitcoin's price could impact MicroStrategy's financial stability and stock performance.
For those considering an investment in MSTR, it's crucial to monitor Bitcoin's price trends and the company's financial strategies closely. The potential for both substantial gains and losses makes MSTR a high-risk, high-reward investmen
#BinancelaunchpoolHuma #BinanceAlphaAlert #MerlinTradingCompetition
This game wasn’t made for you.
It was made to break you.
Crypto evolves 100x faster than the real world.
Yet, many are still clutching the same bags,
coping while the entire market rotates without you.
Narratives shift daily.
100,000+ new tickers launch every damn day (YES, check me).
And you’re still waiting for your old bags meta to "come back."
Wake up.
Nowadays crypto is not just about trading coins,
It's about trading attention.
And in crypto, attentions shifts fast.
Always secure your initials, always grind, always look for the narratives.
Hard work pays off