Bitcoin's Cycle Clock Is Ticking
Ali Charts says Bitcoin's market isn't random; rather, rhythmic. Historically, $BTC takes 1064 days to run from bottom to top, then 364 days to unwind into the next low. By that model, the October 2025 peak near $126,000 sets up a potential bottom around October 2026, near $37,500 on an 80% retrace. If the cycle holds or is even anywhere near accurate, then these recent price actions aren't the end of the story, but somewhere close to the middle of it. #BTC #CryptoMarket
Bitcoin Slips, Gold Steals the Spotlight in 2025
Bitcoin continued to decline, nearing the $88,000 mark with increased market volatility as the cryptocurrency marketplace slowly begins to reactivate after a period of pause 📉🟠
Recently Bitcoin's decline may also have to do with investors taking profits off the table and ETFs having a slowing in ETF inflows due to an increase in macro liquidity sensitivity. Even though the narrative for Bitcoin in the long term has not changed, it can be observed how traders are reacting to a shift in risk in 2025 🧠⚠️
While gold has performed strongly over the last year, almost increasing by 70%, and became the asset of choice for a macro hedge 🏆✨. Central banks are actively acquiring gold, geopolitical risk is ever present, inflation fears remain high and thus demand remains high for the yellow metal 🌍📈
The preference of institutional capital is now toward less volatility, more liquidity and proven reliability due to the high levels of uncertainty in the global macroeconomic environment. Declining real yields provide even more reasons for gold to be viewed as a defensive asset 📉🔥
This pullback of Bitcoin and the resulting shift of capital to gold represent an economic rotation of capital, and not an absolute dismissal of Bitcoin 🔄💰
As the macro environment continues to evolve, it will be seen that markets are becoming more balanced between investing in high-risk digital assets and in traditional safe havens. The pullback of Bitcoin should be interpreted as consolidation, rather than a breakdown, and more consolidation is likely to occur prior to any major liquidity event in 2025 🚀⏳.
At this point in time, gold has taken the lead in 2025 in terms of relative performance and Bitcoin will need to find its own catalyst to catch back up to gold 🟡🟠
#BTCVSGOLD #WriteToEarnUpgrade #Binance
$XAU
{future}(XAUUSDT)
$BTC BITCOIN’S HISTORY IS SENDING A WARNING SIGNAL — AND IT’S NOT DONE YET
Here’s a metric most traders ignore—but cycles respect. Right now, there are only ~340 days in Bitcoin’s entire history where price was higher than today. This isn’t momentum. It’s historical dominance—how much of BTC’s past the current price still outperforms.
Why does this matter? Because true bear market bottoms have historically formed when this number climbs into the 700–800 day range. That’s the point where Bitcoin no longer outperforms most of its own history—maximum exhaustion, maximum disbelief.
We’re nowhere near that zone yet. Which suggests the cycle adjustment may still be incomplete. If this pattern rhymes again, a revisit below the 2021 ATH (~$69K) can’t be ruled out. Uncomfortable? Absolutely. But that’s how cycles work—they hurt before they heal.
This doesn’t mean collapse.
It means time, patience, and pain are still part of the process.
Markets don’t bottom when fear appears.
They bottom when history says there’s nothing left to outperform.
Are we close… or not even halfway there yet?
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$LAVA delivered exactly as expected.
The bullish rally played out perfectly, with strong continuation after the breakout. Clean impulsive candles, sustained buying pressure, and no meaningful bearish response pushed price straight into our projected levels. Both Target 1 and Target 2 are now hit, confirming strong trend control by the bulls. Momentum remains healthy, and the move respected structure throughout.
Trade Setup
Entry Range: 0.1580 – 0.1630
Target 1: 0.1680 ✅
Target 2: 0.1750 ✅
Target 3: 0.1850
Stop Loss (SL): 0.1490
Winning trade. Partial profits secured, risk managed, and trend respected.
#USGDPUpdate #USCryptoStakingTaxReview #CPIWatch
$YFI USDT
Strong reaction from range support, buyers defending the zone — bounce setup in play
Buy Zone: 3,340 – 3,355
TP1: 3,380
TP2: 3,420
TP3: 3,480
Stop: 3,310
Clean range trade. Patience + risk control = edge
{future}(YFIUSDT)
#BinanceAlphaAlert #WriteToEarnUpgrade #USJobsData #USCryptoStakingTaxReview #Token2049Singapore
What we’ve seen over the past few months is a very clear rotation of capital.
Gold topped in September. After that, gold bugs started taking profits and rotating down the risk curve. First into Silver, which went on to print a new ATH about three months later. Then into Palladium. Then into small caps, with the Russell 2000 putting in a new ATH just two weeks ago.
This is exactly how risk appetite rebuilds.
Capital does not jump straight from safety into high beta. It steps down gradually.
If this process continues, the next logical destinations are Bitcoin and Ethereum. After that, large cap altcoins. And only later, when confidence fully returns, the lower cap names.
This isn’t random. It’s rotation. And once it starts, it usually doesn’t stop halfway.
$BNB is showing a solid recovery from the intraday demand zone after a healthy pullback. Buyers stepped in strongly, reclaiming the key mid-range level, and price is now consolidating above support...............
Structure remains bullish on the lower timeframe, and as long as BNB holds this base, continuation toward the upper resistance zone looks likely. Momentum is rebuilding, favoring a trend-aligned long..........
Trade Setup
Entry Range: 838 – 842
Target 1: 846
Target 2: 850
Target 3: 856
Stop Loss (SL): 832
{spot}(BNBUSDT)
Когда BTC достиг исторического максимума, вы думали: «Жаль, что я не купил его раньше»?
Те, кто покупал раньше, заходили не на хаях, а когда на рынке царили страх, неуверенность и сомнения.
Счастливого Рождества! 🎄
$BTC
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
$BNB
{spot}(BNBUSDT)
$USDC
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⚠️ $BEAMX /USDT – Bloodbath in Progress! 🚨
Hold on tight… $BEAMX is dumping HARD with a staggering -26.08% in the last 24 hours! The last traded price is 1.8567 USDT after hitting a 24h low of 1.7022, wiping out momentum and sending shockwaves through the market.
📊 Market Snapshot:
24h High / Low: 2.5314 / 1.7022
Volume: 313.98M BEAMX | 633.37M USDT → Massive selling pressure!
Moving Averages:
MA(7): 1.8662
MA(25): 1.8340
MA(99): 2.0965
Price is below MA(99) → downtrend firmly confirmed.
🔥 What’s happening:
Volume spike to 35,264 with rising MA(5) & MA(10) → intense distribution is dominating.
Sellers are relentless; every bounce is being crushed.
Key support at 1.7022. Breaking this could open the gates for a further collapse.
Resistance sits at 2.5314 — any recovery needs strong conviction to overcome it.
⚡ Verdict:
Heavy distribution is in play. This is not the time to chase. Wait for $BEAMX to reclaim MA(99) or establish solid support before thinking about longs. Patience is key in this carnage.
💡 Key Takeaway:
Markets are brutal, emotions are high, and is a textbook example of a panic dump. Strategic traders watch, measure, and wait. FOMO can kill here.
{spot}(BEAMXUSDT)
$ZBT /USDT Technical Analysis
Current Price: $0.1504 (+54.41% 24h)
24h High / Low: $0.1690 / $0.0934
24h Volume: ZBT 249.62M | USDT 33.05M
Chart Observations:
After a strong spike to $0.1690, price retraced slightly to $0.1504, showing a minor pullback.
The 24h low of $0.0934 indicates strong volatility in this DeFi token.
Price is currently above the mid-range of the daily low/high, suggesting short-term bullish momentum remains but could face resistance near $0.160–$0.169.
Potential Short Setup:
If price fails to hold $0.1500 and breaks below $0.1400, a short could target $0.1200–$0.1100 support levels.
Stop loss: $0.160–$0.165 (just above recent high resistance).
Outlook:
Short-term momentum favors continuation of the upward trend if $0.1500 holds.
High volatility means risk is elevated; tight risk management is necessary.
If you want, I can create a full bullish/bearish target map with multiple levels for ZBT/USDT, just like your usual signal posts. Do you want me to do that?