So many things happening, Circle IPO is out in the market trading at 71$, causing Halt temporarily. But the most interesting thing is going in between Trump and Elon.
Recently, Trump threw some serious shade at Elon Musk during a rally. He said:
“The easiest way for the government to save money is to cut the billions and billions of dollars in subsidies going to Elon Musk.”
Ouch.
This came after Elon criticized the U.S. government pretty harshly. He said the federal budget deal (which Trump supported) was:
“A disgusting abomination.”
Elon was pissed that $1.7 trillion in spending passed without anyone really reading the bill, and without any plan to reduce the country’s $34 trillion debt. He basically said, “You can’t just keep spending like crazy and hope for the best.”
Elon also claimed he wasn’t consulted on this big spending plan, even though he was literally appointed to co-head the new “Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE)” — a hilarious name, considering his love for Dogecoin.
So now Trump’s likely thinking:
“Oh, you don’t like my spending plan? Fine, let’s cut your money then!”
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🥊 TL;DR: • Elon criticized the government’s insane debt and Trump-backed spending bill. • Trump clapped back by threatening to cut off Musk’s subsidies. • Billionaire bromance: officially on pause.
$1.5B AI Startup Bankrupt After Investors Discover “AI” Was Actually Ajay and Imran
Builder.ai, once hyped as a revolutionary no-code AI company and backed by Microsoft, has spectacularly gone bankrupt after it was revealed their “cutting-edge AI” was actually a room full of sleep-deprived Indian engineers.
The company promised apps built by artificial intelligence. Turns out, the “intelligence” was very real — just not artificial.
One ex-employee confessed, “Our AI was so advanced, it even drank chai and took lunch breaks.”
When reached for comment, the CEO said, “We never lied. We just let people assume AI stand for ‘Available Indians.’”
Tech world’s takeaway? Next time, look under the hood before buying the hype. Or at least check if your AI has a LinkedIn profile.
Champions league final, we have fan tokens, PSG, but we don't have Intermilan token, Poeple watching it live in the stadium will trade these two tokens live. Very hard for us to catch it.
When PSG scores, the price will go up, and if Inter scores, PSG will dump, even a RED card can cause dump. Not only watch the match, watch the price action too. Usually before the end of the match, price will get back to the lows of today chart. Winning doesnt' mean it will continue going up.
Bitcoin Is at All-Time Highs — But It Doesn’t Feel Like It
We’re currently at Bitcoin’s all-time high, yet the market sentiment doesn’t reflect that. Unlike previous ATHs marked by euphoria and hype, this one feels eerily calm—almost disconnected. There’s no retail mania, no frenzy on social media. It’s different this time.
The Fear & Greed Index sits at 72—greedy, but far from extreme. That’s why I’m calling this a Disbelief Rally. It feels like institutions are the ones driving this pump, not retail investors. If momentum continues, we could see BTC hit $120K–$130K in this phase.
Meanwhile, macroeconomic cracks are showing. There’s growing concern about sovereign debt. Japan recently failed to attract buyers for its government bonds—forcing the government to step in and buy its own debt.
Yesterday, the U.S. Treasury auctioned $16B in 20-year bonds, which historically has had little impact on markets. But this time was different. Demand was shockingly low. No one wants U.S. debt anymore. And quietly, the Federal Reserve had to step in and purchase $50B worth—essentially monetizing debt. This undermines confidence in the credit markets and could lead to currency devaluation.
Long-dated bond yields (20- to 40-year) are rising, signaling declining trust in the system. That’s bullish for hard assets like Bitcoin and gold. At the moment, gold looks overbought, which may explain why Bitcoin is outperforming—it’s becoming the more attractive hedge.
If this sentiment persists, Bitcoin at $500K in the coming years is not out of the question—possibly sooner than we expect.
However, a word of caution: historically, every time Bitcoin experiences a golden cross, it tends to retrace by around -10% once the rally cools down. So while the long-term outlook looks strong, short-term pullbacks are still likely.
The Only Way to Get Rich in Crypto Without Getting Lucky
The stories we hear about people becoming successful in crypto—most of them are because of luck. For example, someone bought Bitcoin at $1 in 2010, and even when it went up to $100, they didn’t sell. These kinds of people were not smart, just lucky. Those who held Bitcoin and became rich—they didn’t do it with deep analysis. They were lucky.
People who got rich from memecoins like Doge, Shiba, Pepe—they were also lucky. Yes, these coins made millionaires, but if someone says they knew what they were doing—that’s not true. Meme coins are gambling. Everyone should accept that now.
Now let’s talk about investing early in real crypto projects. It’s not easy at all. If a solid project is raising funds, will you invest? Even if you do, there’s no guarantee they’ll give you profits. Actually, good projects don’t ask regular people for money. They raise funds from big names like Binance, Coinbase, or top VCs. Even if you have a billion dollars, they won’t take money from you.
So forget the seed round. Maybe you can get into the ICO round—but that’s also very risky. Because in ICOs, tokens unlock slowly—you don’t get everything at once. And when you finally get them, the price is already down by 50%.
Even choosing which ICO is good or bad is hard. When Ethereum first came out, many people thought it was a scam. They said, “Slow blockchain—what will smart contracts do?” Now, ETH rules the smart contract world.
The 2017 bull run was basically a big ICO run. New ICOs launched every day—and 99% were scams. Just like today, thousands of new memecoins are launching, and 99.9999% of them won’t survive even one day.
So the question is: Can you really get rich in crypto without luck?
Yes, you can earn from crypto. But turning $10,000 into $1 million—that’s not realistic without luck. Most people have less than $10,000 in crypto. To become a millionaire, you need 100x returns.
Even if you’re a pro trader or a day trader, some months you might earn $3,000 or even $10,000. But making $900,000 overnight? Not possible.
Even if you invest in good projects and hold them, I don’t think you’ll become rich. Buying BTC now won’t give you 100x. ETH won’t either. With SOL or BNB, you’ll grow slowly.
So what do you need?
You need a trading strategy—one that lets you trade frequently. A scalping strategy where you can trade BTC using 1-minute, 5-minute, or 15-minute charts. Yes, I used to laugh at people trading on 1 or 5-minute charts. I used to call them gamblers. But now I say—there’s no better way.
If you can make big profits on 1-hour, 4-hour, or 1-day charts, that’s great. Keep doing it. I’m not saying you should only do short-term trading. You should do both—long and short timeframes. Set a fixed time every day, maybe 4 hours, to do high-frequency trades.
It doesn’t have to be 4 hours in one go. Trade when the market is active—when there’s volatility. But your risk-reward ratio must be perfect.
Even if 6 out of 10 trades lose money, if the other 4 give bigger profits, you can still be in profit. The math is simple—you can figure it out.
The hard part is fixing your strategy. Remember: A successful trade doesn’t mean profitable. A successful trade means you followed your strategy—whether you made profit or loss. If you stick to your plan, that’s the real win. If you can do that—you’re already halfway to being a millionaire.
Yes, do long-term trades too—but becoming a millionaire takes time. If you do 4 trades a day, 2 win, 2 lose—that’s normal. You’ll have to keep doing that for life.
Show me one person who got rich from futures trading for 2 years straight. You won’t find one. But you’ll find many who got rich from memecoins. People get rich with spot trading—not futures.
I built a trading bot that trades 24/7. I’m improving it daily. But still, manual trading gives me better profits.
If you have $10,000 and can double it every year—it will still take 7 years to be a millionaire. It sounds easy in numbers—but in real life, it’s a battle.
Yes, you can get stable, steady monthly income from crypto. But you will face losses sometimes. If you manage risk properly, grow consistently, and stay focused—you can become a millionaire. Even if not in 7 years—maybe in 14. And that’s not bad at all.
You need a target. Without a target, you won’t take the right risks at the right time.
For example, on April 9, the market crashed. That day, you should’ve invested at least 50% of your portfolio. Because many coins were 90–95% down from all-time high. A technical bounce was expected—and it happened. Within 30 days, many coins did 2x or 3x. If you took a bigger risk, you could’ve made big gains.
To take that kind of risk—you need a clear target. Write your goal and hang it on your wall.
There’s a saying: You make money in crypto only in the third bull run. The first two are just learning phases.
So will you wait for that third bull run—or take action now? That’s your decision.
“Ethereum’s Big Upgrades: Great for Tech, Not So Much for Price”
#Ethereum has two major upcoming upgrades – Pectra and Fusaka – and they’re mainly focused on making Ethereum smarter, faster, and more user-friendly. Right now, there’s so much ETH being staked that the network is getting congested. So with the Pectra upgrade, the validator limit is being increased from 32 ETH to 2,048 ETH. That means fewer validators overall, which should help simplify network management.
Another big improvement is the increase in blob capacity, which allows more data to be stored on Ethereum’s main chain (Layer 1) at a much lower cost.
Now, while all of this sounds like a massive step forward, in reality, it’s not that bullish for Ethereum itself. Sure, scalability is improving, and user experience is getting better – but who’s really benefiting from these upgrades? Layer 2s. Chains like Arbitrum, Optimism, zkSync, and Starknet (STRK), which are built on top of Ethereum, will now be able to process transactions cheaper and faster.
Ethereum, on the other hand, is gradually becoming more of a data storage layer – kind of like backend infrastructure. That means for everyday users, Ethereum itself is becoming less visible or directly useful.
Meanwhile, other chains that are already fast, cheap, and user-friendly – like #solana and $BNB Chain – are taking this opportunity to grab market share. The average user doesn’t care about how many blobs are supported or whether EOF is live – they just want smooth, cheap transactions and simple apps that work.
So no matter how technically advanced Ethereum gets, if it can’t retain its user base, its price growth will struggle. Ethereum might still be the leader in tech, but it’s slowly handing over value to L2s – which can be seen as a kind of value leakage. And if fewer users and less activity stay on Ethereum Layer 1, ETH token demand could drop as well.
Bottom line – these upgrades are a step forward technically, but they’re not necessarily bullish for ETH’s price in the short to mid term. In fact, platforms like Solana and BNB are using this gap to capture mainstream users, and that could be a serious wake-up call for Ethereum.
Also, it’s worth noting – ETH has been underperforming against BTC since September 2022, which is almost 2.5 years now. Even though the charts might show ETH is near a bottom, we’ll likely need to wait for a real momentum shift before we can expect any significant upside.
The story of the $OM token is a perfect example of why liquidity matters more than market cap in crypto.
You initially invested $1M when OM was priced at $0.20, getting a significant amount of tokens. As the price climbed to $2, your holdings became worth $10M. Instead of selling (which would’ve been difficult due to low liquidity), you used your tokens as collateral to borrow $5M USDT — a smart risk-managed move.
Later, as OM’s price reached $9, your holdings were valued at $45M, allowing you to borrow up to $22.5M in total. The danger was clear: if OM dropped to $4.5, your position would be liquidated. But here’s the catch — OM’s liquidity was low, so even a small sell order could move the price drastically.
On a quiet Sunday, someone saw this opportunity. They opened a short position on one exchange and began selling OM on another, triggering a sharp price drop. This started a liquidation cascade — once OM hit $4.5, many leveraged positions were force-sold, further driving down the price. In a short time, OM crashed over 90%.
Meanwhile, the OM team had earlier sold tokens OTC at a discount and used that USDT to slowly buy back OM on exchanges, manipulating price upward due to the thin liquidity. With just a few million in buy pressure, they pushed the token price up significantly and inflated the market cap.
This entire cycle shows how market cap can be deceiving, especially when liquidity is low. A token may look huge on paper, but you might not be able to exit without crashing the price. In crypto, liquidity is real power — market cap is often just an illusion.
How Low Liquidity Can Crash a Token – A Deep Dive into $OM scenario
Let’s say you bought $1 million worth of OM tokens when the price was $0.20. A few days later, the price rose to $2. Your $1M investment is now worth $10M.
You’re aware that during a major FUD or bearish sentiment, altcoins can crash by 30%-50%. Even when you bought the OM token, you knew its liquidity wasn’t great.
You notice OM token has been in an uptrend for quite some time. But looking at the daily trading volume, it seems odd that such a price increase could happen with this low volume.
Anyway, you kept holding and now the token is priced at $2, making your holdings worth $10M.
Now, some exchanges are willing to give you a loan using your OM tokens as collateral — typically 50% or more of the token value. The condition is: if the price of OM falls close to your loan value, your collateral will be force-sold.
So, you leave $10M worth of OM tokens as collateral and borrow a $5M USDT loan.
Later, OM’s price shoots up to $9, making your token holdings worth $45M.
Since you’ve already taken a $5M loan, now you can borrow another $17.5M if you want.
That means you now have a total of $22.5M in loans. The exchange will only liquidate your position if OM drops from $9 to $4.5.
You knowingly take this risk because you understand that if you try to sell $45M worth of OM tokens on the market, the price could crash to even $1 due to low liquidity.
If you attempt to sell the full $45M, you might end up receiving less than $10M.
Because liquidity means how much value you can actually get out when selling a token. So instead of selling, you’re happy taking a loan.
To help those who don’t understand liquidity, here’s a snapshot from the UNISWAP DEX.
It shows that OM token’s liquidity is $1.5M (marked with a green circle).
Now, even if you have $10M worth of OM tokens, you can’t withdraw more than $1.5M from there — that’s your real max retrievable value.
So what do you do?
You know that exchanges like Binance, OKX have better liquidity.
So you go to OKX and start market selling your $40M worth of OM tokens. You know that placing limit orders will take forever to sell the full $45M.
So you open a short position and start dumping OM on OKX.
You sell gradually on the market. It’s Sunday — usually a slow day in the market, institutions are off too.
Due to fewer buyers, your $100K sell causes the price to drop not by 2%, but by 7%.
Result: a death spiral begins.
Many institutions and individuals had taken loans with OM tokens as collateral. When the price dropped to $4.5, exchanges began forced liquidations.
That caused further price drops, triggering even more liquidations. Eventually, OM fell by 90%.
This kind of catastrophic downfall happens when there’s low liquidity. But there can be a silver lining — like what the OM team did.
When a team sells their own tokens, they usually do it OTC.
OTC means: you and I know each other, I sell you tokens at a 50% discount on the condition that you can’t sell them on the market for 1 year.
So, the team sold $50M worth of OM tokens OTC for $25M USDT. Then they started buying back OM tokens from the market with that $25M.
Due to low liquidity, even a $1M buy could push the price up by 10%. That 10% price increase raises the market cap by $100M.
Over 3 months, the team slowly injected $25M and the token price went up 10x. Because the team has an unlimited supply of OM tokens.
They again sold $100M worth of tokens OTC at a 50% discount and started buying on the market.
You’re no fool either — you know you can’t sell for a year, so you also used your tokens as collateral and took a loan.
Anyway, someone smart figured all this out and on a Sunday, jumped into the market. Opened a short position, and began dumping.
Maybe they didn’t even need to sell more than $10M — the rest happened due to panic selling by other holders and cascading liquidations.
That person profited from their short.
Now keep in mind, which coins have the highest liquidity in the market?
Of course, BTC is number one.
Here’s the English translation without any bold text:
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Let’s say you bought $1 million worth of OM tokens when the price was $0.20. A few days later, the price rose to $2. Your $1M investment is now worth $10M.
You’re aware that during a major FUD or bearish sentiment, altcoins can crash by 30%-50%. Even when you bought the OM token, you knew its liquidity wasn’t great.
You notice OM token has been in an uptrend for quite some time. But looking at the daily trading volume, it seems odd that such a price increase could happen with this low volume.
Anyway, you kept holding and now the token is priced at $2, making your holdings worth $10M.
Now, some exchanges are willing to give you a loan using your OM tokens as collateral — typically 50% or more of the token value. The condition is: if the price of OM falls close to your loan value, your collateral will be force-sold.
So, you leave $10M worth of OM tokens as collateral and borrow a $5M USDT loan.
Later, OM’s price shoots up to $9, making your token holdings worth $45M.
Since you’ve already taken a $5M loan, now you can borrow another $17.5M if you want.
That means you now have a total of $22.5M in loans. The exchange will only liquidate your position if OM drops from $9 to $4.5.
You knowingly take this risk because you understand that if you try to sell $45M worth of OM tokens on the market, the price could crash to even $1 due to low liquidity.
If you attempt to sell the full $45M, you might end up receiving less than $10M.
Because liquidity means how much value you can actually get out when selling a token. So instead of selling, you’re happy taking a loan.
To help those who don’t understand liquidity, here’s a snapshot from the UNISWAP DEX.
It shows that OM token’s liquidity is $1.5M (marked with a green circle).
Now, if you hold $10M worth of OM tokens, even if you want to, you won’t be able to extract more than $1.5M from there.
That $1.5M is your real maximum retrievable value.
So, what do you do now?
You know that Binance, OKX, and similar exchanges have higher liquidity.
So, you begin selling $40M worth of OM tokens on OKX at market price. Because you know if you wait with a limit order, it’ll take forever to sell $45M.
Instead, you open a short position on the exchange and start selling on OKX.
You start market selling bit by bit. It’s a Sunday — usually the market is quiet and institutions are off.
Since there are fewer buyers, your $100K sell drops the price by not 2%, but a full 7%.
Result: a kind of death spiral begins.
Many institutions and individuals had also taken loans using OM as collateral. When OM hits $4.5, exchanges start forced selling.
The price drops even further, and more loans get liquidated. Eventually, OM crashes by 90%.
This kind of catastrophic downfall can happen when liquidity is low. But there’s an upside — like what the OM token team did. When a team wants to sell their own tokens, they usually do it OTC.
OTC means — you and I know each other, and I’ll sell you tokens at a 50% discount under the condition that you can’t sell them in the market for at least a year.
In this way, the team sells $50M worth of OM tokens in OTC for $25M USDT. Now, with that $25M, they start buying OM tokens back from the market.
Due to low liquidity, if they buy with just $1M, the price might go up by 10%. When that happens, the market cap can jump by $100M.
They slowly inject the $25M over 3 months, and the token price increases 10x. Because the team has no shortage of tokens.
Then they sell another $100M worth of tokens OTC at a 50% discount and start buying again from the market.
You’re not any less clever — you know you can’t sell before a year, so you also use the token as collateral and take a loan.
Anyway, after understanding all this, a very smart guy gets into the market on a Sunday. Opens a short position, then starts dumping on the market.
Maybe he didn’t even have to sell more than $10M — the rest of the price crash came from panicked holders and liquidations.
He made money from his short position.
So, keep in mind — which coins have the highest liquidity in the market?
Of course, BTC first. Then ETH.
XRP, DOGE, and recently SOL — all have good liquidity. ADA also has decent liquidity.
With these coins, you could sell $100M and still exit without impacting the price much.
Or just sell OTC at a 10% discount — there will always be buyers.
Just having a high market cap doesn’t mean high liquidity. As I’ve said before, market cap is kind of a myth — a total bluff.
Trump token hit a $70B market cap, but its liquidity was barely around $200M. Not even $1B.
And arbitrage only happens when there is liquidity.
What is arbitrage, really? I’ll explain that another day. For now, just know that because of arbitrage, the price of a token stays roughly the same across all exchanges.
No matter where you sell, arbitrage bots immediately buy/sell to adjust the price and make profit.
Without arbitrage, token prices would vary wildly from one exchange to another.
Got it? Or did it seem too complex? Let me know in the comments. I need to know.
@JPMullinOM The sharp decline in $OM ’s price has raised concerns among holders. To rebuild trust and demonstrate the team’s commitment, would the @MANTRA_Chain team consider burning a portion of their reserve tokens? This could reinforce confidence in the long-term vision. $OM #SecureYourAssets
The Fed just finished another meeting, and as expected, no rate cuts. Powell kept repeating “uncertainty,” meaning they’re still unsure about where the economy is heading. The data is giving mixed signals—hard data looks strong, but soft data is weak.
Hard data includes actual numbers like GDP, job reports, and retail sales. These are still holding up well, so the Fed doesn’t see a reason to rush into cutting rates. On the other hand, soft data includes business surveys and consumer confidence, which show that people and businesses are worried about the future. But since this hasn’t fully reflected in real economic numbers yet, the Fed is waiting and watching.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting. If the economy starts weakening and layoff news starts coming in, the AI narrative will take over. Companies will say, “We’re becoming more efficient with AI, so we’re cutting jobs.” Wall Street loves this kind of story. AI stocks like NVIDIA and Microsoft will pump because investors will believe AI is replacing workers and making businesses more profitable.
The same thing will happen in AI crypto.
It won’t just be AI stocks pumping—AI crypto will move the same way. When AI hype picks up, projects like TAO (Bittensor), FET (Fetch.ai), and VANA (Vana Network) could have a strong rally.
Blockchain-based AI platforms will also grow.
Investors will see AI + crypto as “the future” and start buying in, just like the metaverse trend in 2021.
AI-focused projects related to model training, data sharing, and distributed computing—like Render, IO, and some upcoming decentralized data projects—could also be bullish.
The reality is, the economy is getting weaker, and companies are using AI as an excuse to cut costs. This has happened before—first with automation, then outsourcing, and now AI.
If AI stocks pump, AI crypto projects will follow, but the real question is how much actual utility these projects will have.
Layoff news coming = My bet on AI. Nothing too big, just catching a good trade to cover the next few months’ living costs.
Bull or Bear? Navigating the Crypto Market’s Shifting Narratives
A trader’s biggest mistake can be being bearish in a bull market and bullish in a bear market. The problem is, by the time we realize whether it’s a bull or bear market, it’s often too late.
The last bull market peaked in November 2021, and prices started declining from there. But most of us only realized it around February 2022 or even later.
Take Solana, one of the best projects in the crypto space. When its price dropped from $250 to $90, traders thought, “This is the lowest point, buy the dip!” But in reality, Solana fell another 90%, reaching as low as $8. Imagine the pain of those who held onto it!
FTM, MATIC, ADA—all of these were priced around $3 during the bull market. When they dropped to $1, I bought in, thinking, “There’s no way they can go lower.” But they still fell another 80%!
Then there was Dogecoin—whenever Elon Musk tweeted, Doge would pump. Many believed Elon would push Doge to $1, the only meme coin worth holding. Some even thought he might make Doge the second-best crypto after Bitcoin. But in the bear market, Doge crashed from $0.7 to 95% down.
During that bull run, the hot narrative was NFT & Metaverse—just like how today, every project is adding “AI” to its name. Back then, even if people didn’t understand the projects, just mentioning “NFT & Metaverse” would attract public interest. Every project started adding NFT/Metaverse elements just to lure in investors. But in the bear market, the moment anyone mentioned NFT or Metaverse, people would practically throw up!
For the 2024 bull market, the dominant narrative was MEMECOINS! Many think this meme season started with SOL’s Pump.fun, but actually, it began earlier with BTC Ordinals. ORDI and other ordinals-related meme coins were the first to take off, and later, Solana took the trend to the next level.
Solana made meme coin creation tools freely available, and this pushed SOL and its DEX projects to insane heights. For example, RAY surged from $0.22 to $8! Those who caught the narrative made big moves. Justin Sun capitalized on this by creating a Pump.fun-style meme coin machine, pumping SUN coin 10x. Even TRX performed well. Meme coins emerged from ETH L2 (Base/ARB/OP), and BNB tried joining the trend later, but by then, the narrative was already fading.
The main lesson? In a bear market, there’s no such thing as a “good” project! Prices can drop to unimaginable levels. Even top projects fell 90-95%, while weaker ones kept crashing another 90% even after already losing 90%!
Now, the big question: Are we still in a bull market, or has the bear market begun?
Long-term indicators, which estimated BTC tops in 2013, 2017, and 2021, suggest BTC hasn’t hit its peak yet in this cycle. But simpler indicators like EMA show that BTC has fallen below the 200 EMA on the daily timeframe.
I see it differently—just as the 2021 bear market started when the NFT & Metaverse hype died, this bull market’s key driver was MEME tokens. Now that they are falling, the bear market might already be here. The final nail in the meme narrative’s coffin was when U.S. President Trump launched a meme coin in his own name—that was the absolute peak.
So, what should we do now?
I’m confused myself. Looking at U.S. market actions, it seems there’s room for further downside. But at the same time, maybe this bull run isn’t over yet!
For example, in May 2021, BTC peaked at $64K, then dumped 60% to $28K. It stayed there for 3-4 months, then started a second run from August to November, hitting a new ATH.
Maybe we’re about to see something similar!
I couldn’t resist buying some alts seeing their current prices. Luckily, I bought at a point where most coins have already gone up ~10%. If there’s another short-term bounce, I believe two narratives will dominate:
1️⃣ DEFI 2️⃣ De-AI
L1s will rise if BTC goes up, but the best performers will likely be DEFI & De-AI projects. That’s where I’ve placed most of my investments! 🚀 #MasterTheMarket #BullorBear #2025Prediction
Trump’s Crypto Reserve, Market Reactions, and the Future of Decentralized AI
The moment Trump announced that he would create a strategic reserve for XRP, SOL, ADA, ETH, and BTC, it was a huge sign of hope for the crypto market. It was almost certain that the prices of these coins would rise. For futures traders, going long on ADA was the easiest trade.
The reason was that XRP and SOL had already risen 5–6 times from their bear market prices, but ADA was still undervalued—it had only doubled from its bear market price. However, later, when Trump announced that the USA would not buy any new BTC but would instead hold onto the BTC it had already seized and not sell them, it was a major deception for the crypto community.
As soon as this news broke, BTC and other altcoins started to drop in price, but it didn’t last long. The price didn’t dump as much as expected. BTC is still hovering around $86K–$89K. Why?
There’s another word attached to “crypto”—that word is “currency.” Cryptocurrency. What is the USA’s currency? USD. When the President of the United States, instead of focusing on his own currency, announces a strategic reserve for another currency, it signals weakness to other countries that rely on the USD. The USD is a currency with no real backing. So, when a country’s president chooses to reserve another currency instead of his own, it proves that even he doesn’t have full confidence in the USD.
Therefore, Trump’s BTC strategic reserve—despite not buying more BTC—still gives some priority to another currency, which weakens the USD. You can see this in the DXY chart. The DXY has been falling significantly and rapidly. As a result, risk markets like crypto are not dropping as much. There’s no real fuel in the market, yet it’s still holding up—only because of the dollar’s weakness.
So, I’m waiting to see the decision from the FOMC meeting on March 20. Right now, my investment in the market is $0 USD. I’ve cashed everything out. I only trade for 1 to 4 hours at a time. I analyze the market my own way and make very short-term spot trades.
Long-term investments bring higher profits, but also more deception. I no longer believe in long-term investments in the crypto market. I’m waiting for the next big narrative. That narrative is Decentralized AI. I’ll write about it soon—there are many relevant projects to discuss.
For now, I’ll just say this: All current AI models are centralized. They are built by big corporations—like OpenAI’s ChatGPT, Google’s Gemini, Elon Musk’s Grok, and Facebook’s Llama. These major companies invested in AI years ago and developed these models.
Right now, every AI agent in crypto is built using these centralized AI models. You can’t create a decentralized crypto project using centralized sources. That’s why the crypto market needs a true Decentralized AI.
And to build it, three critical things are needed: 1. Data 2. Compute 3. Algorithm
Crypto already has these. Take Filecoin, AR, and GRT—they are data-related projects.
For compute power, there’s Render, IO, and many others that haven’t even launched tokens yet.
For algorithms, there’s TAO, FET, and more.
So, if everything is available, what’s the problem? Binance is carefully investing in De-AI projects.
New projects are working on data. VANA is one such project that has all three components: Data, Compute, and Algorithm. Similarly, TAO also has all three.
The main gap is in data. AI needs a massive amount of human data.
Three days ago, I saw that Binance invested in another AI-related project called Tensorplex, but the details aren’t known yet.
Anyway, I’ve written a lot.
Whenever I start writing, nothing comes to mind at first, but once I start, I can’t stop!
Anyway, I’m closely watching this narrative, and I believe it will take about a year to fully emerge. But it’s important to start gradually investing in these related projects. For now, I’m ignoring everything else! 🚀
Bybit, a major crypto exchange, recently lost $1.4 billion worth of ETH and related tokens. Hackers stole 401,347 ETH, 90,376 stETH, 15,000 cmETH, and 8,000 mETH from their cold wallet.
Now the question is, how will the hacker cash out this ETH? Dumping such a large amount directly would create massive sell pressure, which could negatively impact ETH’s price. But DEX markets don’t have enough liquidity, so selling everything at once isn’t an option.
If they try to convert it into USDT or USDC, their account might get frozen instantly. They could use a mixer like Tornado Cash, but hiding such a large amount of ETH is difficult.
The market is already weak, and news like this can spread more panic. However, big investors don’t react much to these events anymore. It’s mostly us who overreact—half understanding, half not.
Where can they even cash out such a huge amount? Crypto is supposed to be decentralized, but in reality, it’s highly centralized. Circle and Tether are sitting there, ready to freeze accounts at the slightest hint. Right now, the hacker has no safer option than holding ETH.
One alternative could be moving the ETH through a mixer and somehow converting it to WBTC. Because they know people will spread FUD about ETH, but not about BTC. Other than that, I don’t see many options for them.
Exchanges always say, “Our funds are safe, we are fully solvent” after a big hack—just like FTX’s Sam Bankman-Fried did. But a few days later, we find out how “solvent” they really were.
Recently, WazirX got hacked too. Same story. But they still haven’t been able to return users’ assets.
Anyway, don’t overreact. Understand the market before making decisions. If you get a good dip, buy it. People forget these things quickly. And if there’s any ETH ETF approval news, no one will even remember this hack.
#Ethereum ETFs may soon be allowed to stake ETH if the SEC approves a proposal from Cboe BZX Exchange. This would let ETFs earn staking rewards, making them more attractive to investors and increasing demand for ETH.
Goldman Sachs has also significantly increased its crypto investments, now holding $1.28 billion in Bitcoin ETFs and $476 million in Ethereum ETFs, signaling strong institutional interest.
If ETF staking is approved, ETH supply will shrink, potentially pushing prices higher. Staking platforms like Lido, Ether.fi, and Rocket Pool could benefit, but Lido is the most likely winner due to its dominant market position.
Ether.fi could also gain traction as a decentralized alternative, while Rocket Pool may see slower growth. Lido is the safest bet, Ether.fi has high potential but more risk, and Rocket Pool remains a niche option.
ETH could see a price surge in both the short and long term if staking is approved. Staking tokens, especially LDO, may also perform well, while ETHFI could be a high-risk, high-reward play. If institutions move into staking, ETH above $5,000 in 2025 is possible.
In the recent time I missed a big opportunity to buy this $TST coin. I knew this was gonna be big. I saw this when the market cap was very low, price was declining. I was outside of the house driving car, I was thinking should I buy this.
Then I realize it was the joke of a memecoin. It has every property that a Memecoin should have. I thought I will buy this as soon as I reach home. I forgot. But I didn’t forget to buy $CAKE , I bought big, sold big. Although I know it has a room to go much higher, but I stick to my plan and sold at 2$.
If you make money in crypto, you must do two things. As a trader, your life is boring, you must buy yourself two things. The flagship model phone, flagship model laptop.
If you can afford, get a room for trading. A table with your laptop or desktop. Keep a tv wall mounted.
Set some rules for yourself, like Don’t trade leverage when you are out of that room. You can do spot trade wherever you want.
Wherever you make money, just give yourself something.
Crypto Chaos: The Last Bull Run and the Future of Trading Crypto
I have never been this confused with the crypto market before. It’s not following any logical pattern.
One thing is true—the world doesn’t need any crypto other than Bitcoin. But Bitcoin’s transaction speed is extremely slow, and the scammers who hold the key to Bitcoin’s coding will never do what’s needed to increase its speed. Satoshi himself mentioned increasing Bitcoin’s block size in the white paper, but they will never implement it. So, we have no choice but to turn to an alternative faster transaction-capable blockchain. That could be Ethereum with Layer 2 support or Solana. That’s it. We don’t need any other useless blockchain.
In my opinion, all the other cryptos are scams where you are most likely the victim.
Trading futures is also extremely difficult. Many million-dollar portfolios vanish within a few hours.
The people who got rich in crypto mostly did so by the 2020-21 bull market. Back then, we weren’t proper traders yet. We were learning to trade seriously using mining profits, experimenting with different strategies. Some people also got rich in 2023-2024, but only through memecoins—nobody made money from spot or future trading of good projects.
Trading memecoins is something only rich people can afford. You buy 500 memecoins, and one of them might give you a 50,000x gain. But even in memecoins, it’s not just about randomly buying one and making a profit. Fartcoin reached a billion-dollar market cap—if you and I had just seen the name, we wouldn’t have bought it. So, nobody gets rich by accident.
Today, based on my experience, I can tell you something you won’t hear anywhere else—even in a bull market, crypto never stays in an uptrend for more than three months. I saw this in the 2021 bull run. Check the charts yourself. Why does this happen? Because the same people who pump the prices are the ones who sell.
Many people analyze total market cap and make calculations based on it, but I find that laughable. Total market cap is highly inflated. Every day, 100 new coins enter the crypto world, and their market cap gets added to the total market cap. When the market dumps, it’s impossible to determine how much actual money left the market just by looking at the total market cap.
Let’s assume Bitcoin’s market cap is 2 trillion dollars. Now, if someone sells 5 billion dollars worth of Bitcoin, that’s just 0.25% of the total Bitcoin market cap. Such a small sell should have no impact, right? But in reality, Bitcoin’s price will drop by at least 15-20%. That means Bitcoin’s market cap will fall from 2 trillion to 1.7 trillion. Someone sold 5 billion, but 300 billion disappeared from the total market cap.
This happens with all coins. If 1 billion dollars worth of Solana is sold, its price will drop by 15-20% or even more.
So why does total market cap still work? In fact, every chart in the world works—because everyone trades based on these charts. People believe in support and resistance levels. If they didn’t, these levels wouldn’t work.
Anyway, I’ve been rambling for no reason. This market is extremely frustrating. First, the Chinese shook things up with AI, then Trump smashed it with a hammer, and after that, Canada and the Chinese delivered another hit. This bull run’s foundation has been completely shaken.
Another thing—forget about bull runs happening every four years. This was the last bull run, or maybe it’s still ongoing, but there won’t be another one. The ETFs have turned Bitcoin into a stable asset, and Ethereum will follow. A 5% increase will make people jump with excitement, while a 3% drop will make them panic—just like the Nasdaq or S&P. It will take a few more years, but this is the future.
Altcoin bull runs last for only 2-3 months. If you held longer than that, you got rekt.