Stacks all-time high was hit April 2024. This ATH comes as a long-term double-top because it happened within the same November 2021 peak price range.
After a major wave there is always a correction. A correction can happen in any direction. If the trend is bearish, the correction is an up-move. If the trend is bullish, the correction is a down-move. Very simple.
The 2021 all-time high is the natural end of a major bullish cycle and thus a correction follows. The correction lasted from November 2021 until November 2022. Naturally, a major market bottom signals the start of a change of trend.
Here STXUSDT produced a bullish cycle from November 2022 until April 2024, 504 days. In April 2024 we have a new major high and this signals the start of a bearish wave. The bearish wave went from April 2024 through April 2025. The end of the down-move would signal the start of a new bullish cycle but, how do we know the down-move is over? Answer: A major market flush.
On the 12-May week there was a major market flush with a session reaching lower than the 7-April low. This is the bottom signal. It reveals itself as a bottom signal because instead of a new lower low close the week recovered and closed very high. After a higher low in June compared to April we now have four green weeks and we know what the rest of the market is doing so we can predict easily a bullish continuation; a price increase.
The size of the drop between April 2024 and May 2025 reached -92.49%. That's a huge drop. Almost all the gains from the previous 504 days bullish cycle was erased. The market has no reason nor need to move lower, for what? There is no need to dig for anything down there and that's the signal that reveals the bottom is in. Because the correction was so strong, we can expect a change of trend. We are aiming up.
Stacks major market flus in May 2025 reveals the correction is over. With the end of a strong bearish cycle confirmed, we can now expect a strong bullish cycle to develop next. If we go by past history, we can see sustained growth, it can happen for years or in the least many months.
How long will the bullish cycle last?
I don't know.
From March 2020 to November 2021 we have 630 days. The other cycle I just mentioned lasted 504 days. We can use these numbers to make some predictions but it is hard to say because market conditions are not the same.
504 days from May's low into the future gives us a date of September 2026. 630 days puts us at February 2027.
If we go by the law of alternation, we had a long cycle in 2020/2021 so this time we get a short one, say 38% or half the past bull market, this would give us 239 and 315 days. These two will give us dates between January and March 2026 for a new all-time high or cycle top.
Now, I cannot predict how long the bull market will last but I can predict that prices are going up. Since we know we will have a major rise lasting at least 6 months, the next logical step is to buy and hold. When Stacks starts trading 1,000% up, you won't care how the long bull market will last, you will just be very happy and grateful with the results.
The easy target is $6.19, but if we get an extended bull market we can go to $9.83 or even $13, or higher. It all depends on how it all develops, but we are going up. We are talking profits between 600% and 1,400% coming from current prices.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
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