📊 Deep Dive: Bitcoin's Quarterly Performance & What's Next?

Let's break down Bitcoin's historical quarterly returns from Coinglass to spot some patterns!

Key Observations from the Data:

Q4 Dominance: Historically, Q4 stands out as Bitcoin's strongest quarter.

Average Q4 Return: A staggering +85.42%

Median Q4 Return: A robust +52.3%

Notable Q4s: +479.59% (2013), +215.07% (2017), +168.02% (2020), +47.73% (2023).

This consistent strength in year-end performance is a significant pattern.

Volatile Q1s & Q2s: These quarters are a mixed bag with some of the biggest gains AND biggest losses.

Massive Gains: Q1 2013 (+539.96%), Q2 2019 (+159.36%), Q2 2017 (+123.86%), Q1 2021 (+103.17%).

Sharp Dips: Q1 2018 (-49.7%), Q2 2022 (-56.2%), Q1 2015 (-24.14%).

2025 So Far (as of Q3):

Q1 2025: -11.82% (Red)

Q2 2025: +29.74% (Green)

Q3 2025: +9.17% (Green) - Currently, it's July 13, 2025, meaning we're well into Q3 and already seeing positive returns.

Analyzing "What's Next" based on Patterns:

Given that we are currently in Q3 (already green at +9.17%) and approaching the historically strong Q4, patterns suggest:

Continued Strength in Q3: The current +9.17% is positive, aligning with Q3's average of +6.27% and median of +0.96%. There's potential for this Q3 to finish strong.

High Expectations for Q4: Following the historical trend, Q4 is statistically the most bullish quarter. Based on past performance, an average gain of +85.42% or a median gain of +52.3% could be expected for Bitcoin in Q4 2025 if history rhymes.

Conclusion: While past performance is no guarantee of future results, the data points to a historically strong second half of the year for Bitcoin. Keep an eye on those charts!