Everyone thinks $140K is next.
But it doesn’t play out that way.
I studied every past scenario and all the market data, here's why small BTC dump is coming and what's next
/➮ Golden Cross (GC) is smth that happens when the 50-day MA crosses above the 200-day MA
Typically seen as a buy signal or a bullish indicator across all of CT
But what if I told you it’s not that simple and that a GC can lead to a dump instead?
Let me explain
/➮ Yes, basically GC suggests that short-term price momentum is overtaking long-term momentum (in bullish way ofc)
But history shows us that every time a GC is triggered, BTC dumps by 10% right after
And only then does BTC rally to a new ATH
Let’s dive into specific cases:
/➮ Back in Feb 2021, we had BTC cross the 50MA over the 200MA and dumped 10% in 7 days
March 2024 - 11% dump and then a vertical pump to new highs
Turns out, GC contributes to a final cleanout (of paperhands/retail) before the main breakout
/➮ And it all makes sense - because it’s this breakout that triggers the massive growth
Those who exited become the wave that fuels even more growth due to FOMO
That’s how the Golden Cross pattern works
/➮ This week, we have BTC correcting by ~8%, which matches the pattern
Seeing a bounce already, showing buyer strength around the $104k–$105k level
But on the other hand, it’s clear the momentum above $110k was exhausted
(This leads to “news consumption” - positive news and no reaction)
/➮ Here’s how I see the situation moving forward:
If we hold $105k (most likely we will), we’re flying to $150k, repeating the GC pattern
If we drop to $100k and below, I’d expect a small correction down to $90k–$95k
/➮ If you have no positions yet, now’s a good chance to enter, short-term I’m strong bullish
But at the same time, I’m staying in a more risk-off mode:
Only holding strong blue-chip plays like BTC / ETH / SOL and just few strong alts with thesis behind, like cookie, w, iota.